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Gasoline Market Analysis on March 1

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March 1, 2024, 5:12 PM

Gasoline Market Analysis on March 1

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240229

US

WTI

78.26

-0.28

20240229

British

Brent

83.62

-0.06

 

Gasoline price index

On March 1, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 8872.45, down 4.75, or 0.05%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9177.98, down 4.82, or 0.05%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were lowered, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 305.53.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

Today, the main wholesale price of gasoline in China is stable and weak. The high-end gasoline price in East China has been lowered by 50 yuan/ton, and gasoline prices in other regions have been mainly consolidated within the region. The ex-factory prices of local refineries have been mostly lowered, with gasoline prices in Shandong, North China, East China, Northwest China and Southwest China being lowered by 20-60 yuan/ton. Gasoline prices in Northeast China have been raised by 30 yuan/ton, and gasoline prices in Central China have been relatively stable. At present, the transaction atmosphere in China's gasoline market is mild, the wait-and-see atmosphere in the middle and lower reaches is strong, and refinery shipments are poor. Overall, the market lacks news guidance, and prices fluctuate with the market.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on March 1 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.29

Price 3.1

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8500-9581

8500-9581

0/0

95#

8700-9942

8700-9942

0/0

South China

92#

8850-9630

8850-9630

0/0

95#

9050-9930

9050-9930

0/0

central China

92#

8750-9400

8750-9400

0/0

95#

8950-9700

8950-9700

0/0

East China

92#

8600-9060

8600-9010

0/-50

95#

8800-9260

8800-9210

0/-50

northwestern region

92#

8700-9977

8700-9977

0/0

95#

8900-10558

8900-10558

0/0

southwestern region

92#

8900-10146

8900-10146

0/0

95#

9100-9950

9100-9950

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8580-8750

8580-8750

0/0

95#

8810-9600

8810-9600

0/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on March 1 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.29

Price 3.1

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8410-8930

8410-8870

0/-60

95#

8440-9090

8440-9090

0/-60

in North China

92#

8540-8650

8510-8600

-30/-50

95#

8640-8700

8610-8650

-30/-50

central China

92#

8830-8830

8830-8830

0/0

95#

9030-9030

9030-9030

0/0

East China

92#

8460-8620

8440-8580

-20/-40

95#

8580-8730

8560-8690

-20/-40

northwestern region

92#

8550-8800

8500-8800

-50/0

95#

8700-9000

8650-9000

-50/0

Northeast China

92#

8430-8550

8460-8550

30/0

95#

8600-8750

8630-8750

30/0

southwestern region

92#

9150-9100

9150-9100

-50/-50

95#

9300-9300

9250-9250

-50/-50

 

market outlook

Geopolitical instability in international crude oil continues, but the euro zone economic sentiment index and China's manufacturing data in February fell short of expectations. International oil prices are expected to be lowered. The gasoline market in China is approaching the opening date of the price adjustment window, and the retail price limit adjustment is expected to be raised. In addition, there is no task pressure on the main business at the beginning of the month, and the promotion level has weakened. However, there is still a lack of good news on the demand side. Overall, it is expected that downside risks to China's gasoline market will still exist in the short term.