[Ethanol Daily Review]: China's ethanol market trends on March 1

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 5802 on March 1st, which was stable compared with the previous working day.

& nbsp; the price of ethanol in China is stable. Hot spots on March 1: first, prices in Henan have risen individually. Second, prices in East China are stable. Third, the prices in Jilin and Heilongjiang are stable in the northeast region. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate has been raised. Fifth, the purchasing price of chemical industry has been reduced weakly.

Specifically, the price in Jilin region of Northeast China remains stable, the order is delivered, and the quotations of enterprises in Heilongjiang region are stable. The quotation of individual enterprises in Henan area increased by 50 yuan / ton, the number of vehicles in front of the door increased, and orders were delivered. The price of coal ethanol is stable. Northeast enterprise Jilin market price 5750-5900 yuan / ton, Jilin no water 6350-6500 yuan / ton. The general level of Heilongjiang market is 5600-5800 yuan / ton, the low-end price is negotiable, and the Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6300-6500 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6050-6100 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6150 yuan / ton, and the water-free price is 6850-7000 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6250 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 6900-6950 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6420-6500 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol & nbsp;6450-6550 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Raw material / by-product and downstream & nbsp

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Future forecast: China's ethanol is expected to be stable or fluctuate slightly in March. Bullish factors: first, from the cost point of view of the policy under the influence of prices continue to rise, market awareness is expected to rise to around mid-March, cost support. Second, the demand picks up, the chemical industry starts to increase gradually, and the order of sugar and wine meeting liquor will increase in March. Third, with the continuous decline in the market, enterprises are more willing to pull up. Bearish factor: increased supply. The general production of Anhui COFCO and Zhaodong COFCO increased, and ethanol enterprises purchasing cassava dried cassava in East China resumed production. Coal ethanol Anhui carbon Xin plant has been put into production. Whether the large factories in Northeast China will adjust the production load of food and fuel needs to be observed step by step. Fuel ethanol, the main procurement, price weak finishing.

Raw material: corn ethanol: corn prices rise in Northeast China. Shandong is weakening slightly. Ddgs price weak finishing. Dry cassava: the price of dried cassava is stable.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning Hongda shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Luobei shutdown, Cofco Zhaodong excellent stop fuel production, Wanli installation is normal, Hongzhan 4 factories are normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production, China Kegring production, Fuyu Huihai shutdown; Fukang production, Tianyu production, Shuntong short-term downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng production, new Tianlong normal, Liuniu production. East China Flower Hall production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua shutdown, Kant shutdown, Changxing shutdown, Longhe downtime, Romat production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun shutdown, canal wind device shutdown, Maibo Huihui shutdown, and MINUSTAH production. Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan is normal, Huaxing is normal, Houyuan is normal. Jufeng shuts down. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zhalantun production, Inner Mongolia Jietainuo plant production. Jilin fuel is normal, Guotou Tieling production. Tianguan Nanyang production. Guotou Jidong production. State Investment Helen production. Ethanol production, a by-product of Baling Petrochemical.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Liquor order purchase.

Logistics: logistics price is stable

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.