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Gasoline Market Analysis on February 26

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February 26, 2024, 5:13 PM

Gasoline Market Analysis on February 26

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240223

US

WTI

76.49

-2.12

20240223

British

Brent

81.62

-2.05

 

Gasoline price index

On February 26, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 882.98, down 16.40, or 0.18%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9192.90, down 14.58, or 0.16%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were lowered, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 309.92.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

China's gasoline market continued to decline today. Among them, wholesale prices of main units fell within a narrow range, and gasoline prices in Central, East, Southwest and Northeast China were lowered by 30-50 yuan/ton. Gasoline price quotes in other regions are relatively stable. The ex-factory prices of local refineries have been mostly lowered, with gasoline prices in Shandong, North China, Central China, Northwest China and East China falling by 50-110 yuan/ton. At present, transactions in China's gasoline market are flat. In terms of demand, there are many low-level replenishment in the middle and lower reaches. The wait-and-see atmosphere of owners remains unabated. Refinery shipments perform generally. Transaction policies are relatively flexible. Prices have been lowered in areas with poor sales to stimulate shipments.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on February 26 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.23

Price 2.26

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8500-9581

8500-9581

0/0

95#

8700-9942

8700-9942

0/0

South China

92#

8850-9600

8850-9600

0/0

95#

9050-9900

9050-9900

0/0

central China

92#

8800-9400

8800-9350

0/-50

95#

9000-9700

9000-9650

0/-50

East China

92#

8600-9110

8600-9060

0/-50

95#

8800-9310

8800-9260

0/-50

northwestern region

92#

8800-9977

8800-9977

0/0

95#

9000-10558

9000-10558

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9050-10146

9000-10146

-50/0

95#

9250-9950

9200-9950

-50/0

Northeast China

92#

8530-8750

8500-8750

-30/0

95#

8790-9600

8750-9600

-40/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on February 26 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.23

Price 2.26

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8400-9000

8340-8930

-60/-70

95#

8540-9200

8420-9090

-120/-110

in North China

92#

8620-8620

8540-8570

-80/-50

95#

8670-8720

8590-8670

-80/-50

central China

92#

8870-8870

8770-8770

-100/-100

95#

9070-9070

8970-8970

-100/-100

East China

92#

8450-8670

8400-8600

-50/-70

95#

8570-8780

8520-8710

-50/-70

northwestern region

92#

8650-8900

8550-8900

-100/0

95#

8800-9100

8700-9100

-100/0

Northeast China

92#

8430-8550

8430-8550

0/0

95#

8600-8750

8600-8750

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9150-9150

9150-9150

0/0

95#

9300-9300

9300-9300

0/0

 

market outlook

In terms of international crude oil, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has shown signs of improving, and the impact of geopolitical events has weakened. The number of U.S. oil wells increases. Pressure on the demand side still exists. Overall, the negative factors for international crude oil have not diminished, and oil prices have difficulty rising, and there is room for decline. Consumer demand for gasoline in the Chinese market has decreased significantly after the Spring Festival, and there is a lack of holiday support, so demand performance is relatively weak. In addition, the performance pressure of some refineries at the end of the month is increasing, and the willingness to support prices is weak. Overall, it is expected that there will still be room for downside in China's gasoline market in the short term.