Caustic soda: Spot prices are mixed, the market operates differently, and futures prices fall first and then rise

Caustic soda futures analysis:    February 26th SH2405 contract opening price: 2702, highest price: 2703, lowest price: 2640, position: 46242, settlement price: 2671, yesterday settlement: 2703, down: 32, closing price: 2671, daily trading volume: 48930 lots, precipitated capital: 889 million, capital inflow: 3.52 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:      today, China's caustic soda market shows differentiated operation, the market transaction is flexible, the price of high concentration caustic soda in the liquid caustic soda market mostly falls, the price of low concentration caustic soda rises individually, the price of tablet caustic soda market rises in some areas, and the market in most areas remains stable. Today, there are differences in price adjustment in the liquid alkali market. The price of high concentration alkali has fallen, while the price of low concentration alkali has risen individually. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ion-exchange membrane bases have individually increased by 10 yuan / ton, 50% of ion-exchange membrane bases have mostly dropped by 60-90 yuan / ton, and individual prices have risen by 100 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. First of all, the downstream demand in Shandong area has recovered somewhat, coupled with the dissatisfaction with the start of chlor-alkali plants in some chlor-alkali enterprises, the price of low concentration alkali has increased, the price of high concentration alkali has risen continuously in the early stage, and the supply side has recovered recently. Prices began to fall in some areas. The supply side of some areas in southwest China supports the market, and the price shows an upward trend. Supply and demand in other areas do not change much, maintain the previous level of operation, enterprise shipments do not change much, downstream pick-up enthusiasm is general, the mentality of operators in each region is relatively cautious, and the price level is mostly maintained in the early stage. Upstream production enterprises in Shandong Province, some manufacturers adjust ex-factory quotations, and price adjustment in different directions, manufacturers in other areas wait and see price stability. Today, the price center of gravity in most areas of the tablet alkali market has mainly moved upwards. first of all, the factory quotation in Shandong has been raised at the beginning of the week, and the local market has been boosted, and the market price has also risen; most manufacturers in the northwest have not yet announced the new single price. The enterprise pre-sale situation is OK, and the market transaction price center of gravity in most areas varies from 50 to 100 yuan / ton, and the market transaction situation is more flexible.

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract shows a trend of falling first and then rising. Night trading price concussion downward, early trading price after a small dive began to shock upward, afternoon price shock operation, did not see a large operable market. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2640-2703 throughout the day, with a price difference of 63. 05 contracts with an increase of 745 positions and 46212 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, China's caustic soda index fell by 0.793% to 2719.35, down 21.74%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, the spot market of caustic soda shows differential operation, the price of high concentration alkali changes from rising to falling, and the price of low concentration alkali begins to pick up. On the whole, on the one hand, the price of high concentration alkali has risen continuously in the early stage, the rising time is relatively long and the increase is relatively large; on the other hand, the evaporation devices of some enterprises have been restored and the supply side of high concentration alkali has increased, which is bad for the price. In the later stage, the price of high concentration alkali or the overall regional change is mainly. The price of low-concentration alkali has warmed up. First of all, the new year has ended, the industry has almost started work one after another, downstream demand has also recovered to a certain extent, procurement demand has an increasing trend as a whole, and the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market may be higher than that in the early stage. prices are expected to rise in the later period.

Futures: the futures price of caustic soda SH2405 contract runs around the middle rail concussion, and the support below the futures price is obvious. Mandarin Commodity Index fell, today's commodity sentiment is weak, caustic soda is also affected by the market mood is not high. Disk turnover: 12.7% more than empty 19.3%, empty 15% more than 18%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) narrows, the KD line at the daily level shows a golden fork trend but shrinks, and the MACD line intersects and winds up. There is support under the current futures price, which may be expected to rise in the short term.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 127.78, up 49.89, or 64.05%, and China's liquid chlorine index rose.

Caustic soda holding the list: