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Gasoline: There is a wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and refinery shipments are flexible

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February 23, 2024, 5:18 PM

Gasoline: There is a wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and refinery shipments are flexible

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240222

US

WTI

78.61

0.7

20240222

British

Brent

83.67

0.64

 

Gasoline price index

On February 23, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 8899.37, down 21.04, or 0.24%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9207.48, down 16.62, or 0.18%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were lowered, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 308.11.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

Today, China's gasoline market continues to remain weak, with wholesale prices of main units stable and weak, and gasoline prices in Central, East and Northeast China have been lowered by 10-50 yuan/ton. The ex-factory price of local refineries dropped slightly, with gasoline prices in Shandong, North China, Central China and East China falling by 40-80 yuan/ton. At present, transactions in China's gasoline market are average. The replenishment efforts in the middle and lower reaches after the holiday are less than expected. There is a wait-and-see atmosphere in the market. The refinery shipment transaction policy is flexible. Refiners in areas with poor sales have slightly lowered their prices to stimulate shipments.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on February 23 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.22

Price 2.23

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8500-9581

8500-9581

0/0

95#

8700-9942

8700-9942

0/0

South China

92#

8850-9600

8850-9600

0/0

95#

9050-9900

9050-9900

0/0

central China

92#

8850-9400

8800-9400

-50/0

95#

9000-9700

9000-9700

-50/0

East China

92#

8600-9160

8600-9110

0/-50

95#

8800-9310

8800-9310

0/-50

northwestern region

92#

8800-9977

8800-9977

0/0

95#

9000-10558

9000-10558

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9050-10146

9050-10146

0/0

95#

9250-9950

9250-9950

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8550-8750

8530-8750

-20/0

95#

8800-9600

8790-9600

-10/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on February 23 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.22

Price 2.23

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8440-9000

8400-9000

-40/0

95#

8580-9200

8540-9200

-40/0

in North China

92#

8670-8700

8620-8620

-50/-80

95#

8720-8800

8670-8720

-50/-80

central China

92#

8920-8920

8870-8870

-50/-50

95#

9120-9120

9070-9070

-50/-50

East China

92#

8480-8720

8450-8670

-30/-50

95#

8600-8830

8570-8780

-30/-50

northwestern region

92#

8650-8900

8650-8900

0/0

95#

8800-9100

8800-9100

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8430-8550

8430-8550

0/0

95#

8600-8750

8600-8750

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9150-9150

9150-9150

0/0

95#

9300-9300

9300-9300

0/0

 

market outlook

The Palestinian-Israeli conflict in international crude oil is still continuing, and geopolitical uncertainty continues. The International Energy Agency is pessimistic about the growth rate of global crude oil demand. It is expected that there will be room for international oil prices to fall next week. On the demand side, gasoline demand declined after the holiday, and there is no holiday support next week, so the amount of gasoline is limited. Refinery's comprehensive refining profit fell, curbing refinery production speed. In addition, the pressure on refinery performance has increased at the end of the month, the willingness to hold prices has been weak, and the transaction policy is mainly based on volume concessions. Overall, China's gasoline market is expected to decline slightly in the short term.