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Gasoline: The favorable atmosphere in the market has weakened, and some of them have chosen to replenish goods at low prices

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February 19, 2024, 4:42 PM

Gasoline: The favorable atmosphere in the market has weakened, and some of them have chosen to replenish goods at low prices

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240216

US

WTI

79.19

1.16

20240216

British

Brent

83.47

0.61

 

Gasoline price index

On February 19, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 8932.53, down 27.47, or 0.31%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9237.67, down 29.88, or 0.32%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were lowered, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 305.14.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

Today, China's gasoline market generally weakened, with wholesale prices of main units stable and weak, and gasoline prices in South China, Central China and East China have been lowered by 30-200 yuan/ton. The ex-factory price of local refineries in North and East China has been lowered by 30-50 yuan/ton. Gasoline prices in other regions have temporarily remained stable. At present, transactions in China's gasoline market have decreased, and the favorable market atmosphere has gradually been exhausted. The wait-and-see atmosphere among middle and lower reaches has reappeared, with some restocking at low levels; refinery shipments have slowed down significantly.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on February 19 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.18

Price 2.19

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8580-9581

8580-9581

0/0

95#

8780-9942

8780-9942

0/0

South China

92#

8850-9850

8850-9650

0/-200

95#

9050-10150

9050-9950

0/-200

central China

92#

8930-9400

8900-9400

-30/0

95#

9080-9700

9050-9700

-30/0

East China

92#

8650-9260

8650-9210

0/-50

95#

8850-9410

8850-9360

0/-50

northwestern region

92#

8800-9977

8800-9977

0/0

95#

9000-10558

9000-10558

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9150-10146

9150-10146

0/0

95#

9350-9950

9350-9950

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8550-8800

8550-8800

0/0

95#

8900-9600

8900-9600

0/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on February 19 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 2.18

Price 2.19

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8440-9040

8440-9040

0/0

95#

8620-9200

8620-9200

0/0

in North China

92#

8800-8850

8750-8850

-50/0

95#

8850-8950

8800-8950

-50/0

central China

92#

9070-8780

9070-8780

0/0

95#

9270-9270

9270-9270

0/0

East China

92#

8600-8720

8570-8720

-30/0

95#

8720-8830

8690-8830

-30/0

northwestern region

92#

8650-8800

8650-8800

0/0

95#

8800-9000

8800-9000

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8430-8550

8430-8550

0/0

95#

8600-8750

8600-8750

0/0

southwestern region

92#

9100-9100

9100-9100

0/0

95#

9250-9250

9250-9250

0/0

 

market outlook

Geopolitical tensions in international crude oil are still continuing, but the benefits are gradually being exhausted. On the demand side, U.S. crude oil demand is performing poorly, and commercial crude oil inventories may be accumulated. It is expected that the international crude oil market will have insufficient upward momentum in the short term. After returning from the holiday, there are certain replenishment operations in the market. In addition, after the holiday, the market has resumed work and production. However, at present, the market's post-holiday replenishment efforts are less than expected. Judging from the price adjustment mechanism of refined oil products, this adjustment of the retail price limit of refined oil products was stalled for the first time in the year, and the guidance was limited. Overall, China's gasoline market is expected to operate weakly in the short term.