Caustic soda: The price of high-concentration alkali rose, and the futures price rose on the first day of opening. At the beginning of the week, both markets are now rising

Caustic soda futures analysis:    February 19 SH2405 contract opening price: 2625, highest price: 2682, lowest price: 2623, position: 43796, settlement price: 2647, yesterday settlement: 2646, up: 1, closing price: 2659, daily trading volume: 30854 lots, precipitated capital: 838 million, capital inflow: 32.01 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market shows a regional upward trend, the price of high concentration caustic soda in the liquid caustic soda market rises, the price of low concentration caustic soda maintains a stable trend, the market trend maintains a stable trend at the beginning of the week, the market mentality is relatively cautious, more wait and see the market. Today, the operation of the liquid alkali market is differentiated, the price of high concentration in some areas is mainly rising, the market of low concentration alkali is running gently and steadily, and the price has not been significantly adjusted. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regional markets, 50% ionic membrane alkali has increased by 30-70 yuan per ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have almost remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The price of high concentration alkali has risen in various regions. On the one hand, there is little pressure on enterprises to ship high concentration alkali, the performance of the shipment is relatively smooth, the equipment load in some areas is dissatisfied, and the supply side has relative support. On the other hand, downstream demand has recovered after the festival. Both supply and demand have certain support to the market, so the price is mainly rising. In most other areas, there is little change in supply and demand after the holiday, there is accumulated inventory during the Spring Festival, downstream demand as a whole maintains rigid demand procurement, the mentality of operators is relatively cautious, and the price level mostly maintains the previous level. A small number of upstream production enterprises raise ex-factory prices, and most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize prices, showing a relatively cautious mentality. Today, the operation of the tablet alkali market is relatively stable, most of the equipment of the manufacturers are stable, the negative production of the sheet alkali units in some areas is increased, the operation of the ex-factory quotation in each region is relatively stable at the beginning of the week, no new price has been announced, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price range of each regional market. Downstream demand shows regional differences, downstream demand recovery varies from region to region, the overall transaction atmosphere of the market is general, and the market wait-and-see mood is strong.

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract concussion uplink, the overall fluctuation is relatively violent. After a brief decline to the intraday low of 2623, the early futures price rose quickly, then fluctuated downwards, and then rose again in late trading; the afternoon futures price as a whole fluctuated and did not see a large operable market. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2623-2682 throughout the day, with a price difference of 59. 05 contracts with an increase of 963 positions and 43796 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2646.2 on February 19, up 13.77%, or 0.523%. China's caustic soda index rose.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot: first of all, from the point of view of the supply side, affected by poor transportation during the Spring Festival, the situation of enterprise shipments is poor, some enterprises have accumulated inventory, caustic soda enterprises have a certain inventory pressure, and some parking or load reduction devices have been restored in the early stage after the festival, and the overall performance of the supply side is relatively sufficient. From the perspective of downstream demand, the overall downstream demand will recover after the festival, but at present, most of the downstream maintain the pace of rigid demand procurement, and we need to pay attention to the follow-up of downstream demand in the later stage. At present, it is in the early post-holiday period, the overall performance of the market mentality is relatively cautious, mainly wait and see the market, it is expected that the short-term caustic soda market may move steadily and slightly, most areas may maintain the current level of operation, and a few areas will flexibly adjust prices according to the local market and enterprises' own conditions.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract post-holiday price slightly upward, the high price is close to the middle track, but the overall lower support is not obvious, but the upper pressure is greater. Market turnover: 14.8% more than empty 19.6%, empty 19% compared to 13.5%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) is downward, and the KD line at the daily level intersects and wraps around each other, and the final closing shows a golden fork trend, but it is not obvious, and the MACD line continues to show a dead fork trend. Although the operation of the post-holiday price rose slightly, the investor participation on the first day of trading after the festival is not high, and the performance of the market is not active. in the short term, the futures price of caustic soda SH2405 contract or upward power is insufficient, pay attention to the trend of the range 2600-2670.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index fell by 17.17% to 133.44, down 27.67% on February 19. China's liquid chlorine index fell.