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[Soda ash] Soda ash Weekly Review: Soda ash prices are firm before the holiday, manufacturers maintain the trend of removing warehouses

89,870
February 2, 2024, 4:12 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash market has been basically stable, and the prices of individual companies have been slightly adjusted. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 2,250 - 2,500 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 2,350 - 2,600 yuan/ton; this week, the start of soda ash enterprises is relatively stable. There is no maintenance plan in the short term, and the overall start remains at a high level; As downstream companies have gradually ended stocking up, coupled with the approaching holidays and limited logistics and transportation, downstream demand has gradually weakened. The atmosphere for new orders in the market has weakened this week. However, soda ash companies currently have many orders on hand, and most companies place orders until March., there is not much pressure on soda factories to ship, and orders and shipments are the main priority. The overall inventory of soda ash manufacturers is in a downward trend, and soda ash market prices are operating firmly.

 

Forecast for next week: Before the holiday, the soda ash market will remain stable, downstream companies will increase their raw materials before the holiday, and the start-up of enterprises is expected to remain stable; market transactions will weaken, market shipments will decrease, the soda ash market will gradually have a price and no market, and traders and other enterprises will be on holiday one after another. The market will remain stable in the short term; this week, some companies inquired about post-holiday prices, but companies have not yet quoted prices in February, and the soda ash market is expected to operate in shock.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

January 25

February 1

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2525

2525

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2550

2550

0

0.00%

in North China

light soda ash

2350

2350

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2450

2450

0

0.00%

East China

light soda ash

2400

2400

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2550

2550

0

0.00%

central China

light soda ash

2375

2375

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2500

2500

0

0.00%

South China

light soda ash

2450

2450

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2550

2550

0

0.00%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2375

2375

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2475

2475

0

0.00%

northwestern region

light soda ash

1975

1975

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2075

2075

0

0.00%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of February 1 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 885 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton from last week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 591 yuan/ton, up 0.5 yuan/ton from last week.

production process

January 25

February 1

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

882

885

3

0.34%

ammonia-soda process

590.5

591

0.5

0.08%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 88%, an increase of 0.92% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 685,000 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on February 1, 2024

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Huainan Debang

60

On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined.

Jinshan, Henan

390

The company's equipment will be repaired from January 26, and the estimated maintenance time is 4 days

Hubei shuanghuan

110

The company's equipment will be repaired on January 31, and the estimated maintenance time is 2 days

chlor-alkali process

Qinghai Fantou

140

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

Kunlun Jianye

150

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

Shandong haihua

300

The company's equipment will be repaired from January 24, and the estimated maintenance time is 7 days

Jiangxi Jinghao

60

The company's equipment will be repaired from January 29, and the estimated maintenance time is 6 days

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 385,500 tons, compared with 416,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 30,500 tons, or 7.91%.