1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, prices in some areas of China's soda ash market continued to weaken and decline. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 2,250 - 2,500 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 2,400 - 2,700 yuan/ton; this week, the installation of individual enterprises in the soda ash market has declined, and the market supply has decreased slightly; the market price of soda ash has been lowered continuously to low levels. The price decline has slowed down this week. Company quotations are firm, manufacturers 'signings have improved slightly, and enterprises' orders on hand are basically until the end of the month; Downstream demand has remained basically stable. As the holidays approach, companies 'demand for stocking has increased, and the spot of soda ash has been relatively stable. However, purchasing sentiment remains cautious, and soda ash prices have been weak and stable.
Forecast for next week: The overall supply of soda ash is at a high level, and the equipment of individual enterprises has been adjusted slightly; procurement demand will gradually increase before the Spring Festival holiday, but due to the continuous weakening of the market, purchasing sentiment is more cautious; currently, supply and demand in the soda ash market are still unbalanced, and heavy soda enterprises With the increase in inventories, the operating pressure of the soda ash market is still high. Some enterprises are under pressure, and the soda ash market will fluctuate in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
on January 11 |
on January 18 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2600 |
2525 |
-75 |
-2.88% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2725 |
2600 |
-125 |
-4.59% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2500 |
2425 |
-75 |
-3.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2650 |
2650 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2525 |
2525 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2625 |
2600 |
-25 |
-0.95% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2375 |
2375 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2525 |
2500 |
-25 |
-0.99% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2750 |
2450 |
-300 |
-10.91% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2850 |
2550 |
-300 |
-10.53% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2450 |
2350 |
-100 |
-4.08% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2675 |
2475 |
-200 |
-7.48% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
2175 |
1950 |
-225 |
-10.34% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2225 |
2075 |
-150 |
-6.74% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of January 18 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 988 yuan/ton, down 97 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 720 yuan/ton, down 56 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
on January 11 |
on January 18 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
1085 |
988 |
-97 |
-8.94% |
ammonia-soda process |
776 |
720 |
-56 |
-7.22% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 89.50%, an increase of 0.56% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 700,500 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on January 18, 2024 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Huainan Debang |
60 |
On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined. |
|
Lengshuijiang Alkali Industry |
18 |
The company's equipment maintenance will be held on January 17, with an estimated time of 4 days |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Qinghai Fantou |
140 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
Kunlun Jianye |
150 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
|
Nanfang Jianye |
60 |
The company's equipment maintenance will be held on January 18, with an estimated time of 10 days |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 455,000 tons, compared with 430,000 tons last week, a month-on-month increase of 25,000 tons, an increase of 5.49%.