Caustic soda: The price of flake soda continues to decline, the price of the main downstream alumina continues to be depressed, and the futures price fluctuates widely

Caustic soda futures analysis:    January 10 SH2405 contract opening price: 2710, the highest price: 2718, the lowest price: 2662, the spread: 56, the position: 57714, the reduction: 500, the settlement price: 2685, yesterday's settlement: 2679, down: 6, the closing price: 2669, the daily trading volume: 98224 hands, the precipitated capital: 1.109 billion, the capital outflow: 22.18 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Caustic soda spot analysis:      today China's caustic soda market moves steadily, the market trend is slightly different, the overall performance of the liquid caustic soda market is mainly stable, the market mentality of each region is relatively cautious, the price does not see obvious change, and the price of tablet caustic soda market falls mainly in the region. Today, the overall trend of the liquid alkali market is relatively stable, and the market transaction situation has not changed much compared with yesterday. Most operators hold a wait-and-see mood. From the perspective of regional market price adjustment, the prices of 32% ionic membrane alkali, 50% ionic membrane alkali and other concentrations remain stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The market prices in some areas of the main producing areas are relatively strong, which is mainly affected by the support of the supply side of plant maintenance; the downstream demand in some areas is relatively flat, the market transaction situation is not ideal, the mentality of operators is relatively cautious, and prices are mostly stable. On the whole, there is little change in supply and demand in various regions of the liquid alkali market, and most of the operators are waiting to see the market, and the price has not fluctuated obviously. The market transaction situation in each region is slightly general, the plant starts normally, the downstream demand maintains the rigid demand mainly, the price mostly maintains the previous level operation, the market wait-and-see mood is heavy, the transaction price center of gravity has not changed obviously for the time being. Most of the upstream production enterprises wait and see to stabilize the price, the mentality is relatively cautious, and the prices of a few manufacturers are slightly adjusted. Today, the trend of the tablet alkali market is mainly regional downward, the new unit prices of tablet alkali manufacturers in Northwest China continue to decline, and the transaction prices in some areas are mainly down. Most enterprises have started their installations normally, the supply of goods in the market is stable, the overall performance of downstream demand is poor, the market trading situation is not ideal, operators in some areas wait and see the market cautiously, and prices have not been significantly adjusted.

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract wide volatility. After the opening price of night trading rose slightly to today's high, it began to wobble downwards, and rebounded slightly after running to the intraday low, followed by late-day concussion, with prices rising first and then falling in the morning, and falling again after a slight shock in the afternoon. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated from 2662 to 2718 throughout the day, with a price difference of 56. 05 contracts to reduce their positions by 500 hands, with 57714 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 0.237% to 2576.77, down 6.12%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: caustic soda market fundamentals remain weak, supply and demand in various regions almost maintain stable operation, most enterprise installations operate stably, supply is sufficient, downstream demand runs gently and steadily, prices in individual areas are adjusted flexibly, market mentality is cautious as a whole, coupled with the profit situation of chlor-alkali enterprises is not as good as that in the early stage, enterprises have a pro-price mentality, and the overall operation of the market has a stabilizing trend. However, the main downstream alumina enterprises in Shandong area reappear the price reduction behavior after more than half a month, and the purchase price of liquid alkali has been reduced by 10 yuan / ton to 700 yuan / ton, which has been implemented since January 11. This price reduction behavior has added negative interest to the caustic soda market. It is expected that the price of low concentration alkali may fall slightly in the short term, while the price of other concentration alkali may maintain stable operation, and the industry will wait and see the market.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract back above the lower rail support level, trading situation: more than 14% vs. 18.6%, 18.4% vs. 17.3%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks in the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) shows a divergent trend; the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a dead fork trend, and the KD line dead fork trend narrows. Short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract or concussion operation, repeatedly test the lower rail support level.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on January 10, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 223.33, down 33.44, or 13.02%. China's liquid chlorine index fell.

Caustic soda holding the list: