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Gasoline: Centralized stocking before the Spring Festival has not yet arrived, and the transaction atmosphere in the gasoline market is moderate

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January 8, 2024, 5:15 PM

Gasoline: Centralized stocking before the Spring Festival has not yet arrived, and the transaction atmosphere in the gasoline market is moderate

International crude oil closes

 

date

market

specifications

Closing (USD/barrel)

rise and fall

20240105

US

WTI

73.81

1.62

20240105

British

Brent

78.76

1.17

 

Gasoline price index

On January 8, China's 92 #gasoline price index was 8830.63, up 7.18, or 0.08%; China's 95 #gasoline price index was 9138.43, up 7.91, or 0.09%. Both the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index were raised, and the price difference between the 92 #gasoline index and the 95 #gasoline index was 307.80.

 

Gasoline Market Analysis:

The main wholesale price of gasoline in China rose slightly today, with gasoline prices in Central China, East China, Southwest China and Northeast China rising by about 50 yuan/ton. Ex-factory prices of local refineries were mixed, with gasoline prices in Central China increasing by 20 yuan/ton. Gasoline prices in Shandong and North China have been lowered by 30-50 yuan/ton. Gasoline prices in other regions are relatively stable. At present, the transaction atmosphere in China's gasoline market is mild. There is just a need to purchase in the middle and lower reaches of the market. The demand for terminal stocking is increasing before the Spring Festival. Refineries are not willing to drop prices, but mainly support prices, and some of them are up.

Main wholesale price of gasoline on January 8 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 1.5

Price 1.8

rise and fall

in North China

92#

8460-9600

8460-9600

0/0

95#

8660-9900

8660-9900

0/0

South China

92#

8700-9500

8700-9600

0/0

95#

8900-9800

8900-9900

0/0

central China

92#

8700-9170

8750-9170

50/0

95#

8900-9470

8950-9470

50/0

East China

92#

8550-9100

8600-9100

50/0

95#

8750-9500

8800-9500

50/0

northwestern region

92#

8550-9800

8550-9800

0/0

95#

9000-10050

9000-10050

0/0

southwestern region

92#

8900-9250

8950-9250

50/0

95#

9100-9700

9150-9700

50/0

Northeast China

92#

8500-9100

8580-9150

0/50

95#

8730-9600

8730-9600

0/0

 

Ex-factory price of local gasoline refining on January 8 (yuan/ton)

areas

Gasoline model

Price 1.5

Price 1.8

rise and fall

Shandong area

92#

8350-8750

8320-8700

-30/0

95#

8450-8900

8450-8900

0/0

in North China

92#

8550-8570

8500-8520

-50/-50

95#

8620-8650

8570-8600

-50/-50

central China

92#

8850-8850

8870-8870

20/20

95#

9050-9050

9070-9070

20/20

East China

92#

8420-8640

8420-8640

0/0

95#

8540-8770

8540-8770

0/0

northwestern region

92#

8500-8800

8500-8800

0/0

95#

8700-9000

8700-9000

0/0

Northeast China

92#

8400-8400

8400-8400

0/0

95#

8600-8600

8600-8600

0/0

southwestern region

92#

8950-8950

8950-8950

0/0

95#

9100-9100

9100-9100

0/0

 

market outlook

From the perspective of international crude oil, events in the Red Sea region continue to ferment, risks at the supply level increase, and U.S. crude oil production has not yet continued to grow; but Saudi Arabia lowered the selling price of crude oil sold to Asia in February, and the global economy is still relatively weak, which has a negative impact on international crude oil. A game of negative and positive factors in international crude oil. From the perspective of the Chinese market, the new round of refined oil price adjustments is currently expected to be stranded, but the price adjustment date is still far away and there is limited information guidance. Demand side The Spring Festival is approaching, and gasoline demand is expected to be optimistic. Moreover, the concentrated hoarding of goods before the festival has not yet arrived, and the market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, or wait for opportunities to purchase. Overall, China's gasoline market is expected to rise steadily in the short term.