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Caustic soda: Spot prices have been lowered regionally, market supply and demand have not changed significantly, and futures prices have increased

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January 2, 2024, 3:54 PM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    January 2 SH2405 contract opening price: 2826, highest price: 2906, lowest price: 2820, spread: 86, position: 71016, increase: 9692, settlement price: 2865, yesterday settlement: 2842, up: 23, closing price: 2853, daily trading volume: 125811 hands, precipitated capital: 1.459 billion, capital inflow: 212 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

December twenty _ ninth

January second

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

736-784

736-784

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

720-790

720-790

0/0

-

Hebei

740-790

740-780

0/-10

Ex-factory price

South China

910-1050

910-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

710-780

710-780

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

980-1020

980-1020

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

760-860

760-860

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2450

2400-2450

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

820-860

820-860

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2700-2900

2700-2900

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1190-1300

1180-1250

-10/-50

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1280-1300

1280-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1200-1270

1160-1230

-40/-40

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2500-2600

2500-2600

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3000-3200

3000-3200

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2700-2900

2700-2900

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3400-3500

3300-3400

-100/-100

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1230-1350

1230-1350

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

870-930

870-930

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

3000-3200

3000-3200

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda spot analysis:      caustic soda market is mainly regional downward today, the market trading atmosphere is relatively light, the mentality of most operators is cautious, prices are down in a few areas, and supply and demand levels in all regions maintain the previous level of operation. Today, the regional trend of the liquid alkali market is poor, and the trading atmosphere in each regional market is mediocre. Prices in a few regions have fallen at the beginning of the week, individual prices have risen, and the market has slightly differentiated operation.From the point of price adjustment in various regions, 32% of ionic membrane alkali prices have individually dropped by 10 yuan / ton, 50% ionic membrane alkali prices have been reduced by 10-40 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. Price consolidation operation in most areas, New Year's Day holiday period in some areas of high concentration of alkali prices down, today's price reduction is mostly the embodiment of New Year's Day's price adjustment, the market performance is relatively stable at the beginning of the week, the mentality is more cautious. The performance of the market in other areas is stable, most of the devices start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, and the supply and demand side does not change much. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price center for the time being. The upstream production enterprise individual sporadic downgrade, most manufacturers stable price wait and see mainly, the mentality performance is relatively cautious. Today, the operation of most tablet alkali devices in the tablet alkali market is stable, and the market supply is relatively stable; the ex-factory quotation of tablet alkali in Shandong has mainly been lowered, and most manufacturers in the northwest region have not announced the new unit price. The enterprise shipping is normal, the downstream demand maintains the early rhythm operation, the change of the supply and demand side is not obvious for the time being, the market mentality is cautious at the beginning of the week, and the operators wait and see the market mainly.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract shows an upward trend. Prices rose briefly after a brief decline in the late morning trading, but did not have enough momentum, then rebounded after concussion to the lowest level of the day, and then fell slightly in late trading. Prices rose again in the afternoon, reaching an intraday high of 2906, and then fluctuated downwards. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2820-2906 throughout the day, with a spread of 86 and a position of 9692 hands, with a position of 71016 so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, China's caustic soda index fell to 2660.63 on January 2, down 8.63%, or 0.323%. China's caustic soda index fell.

Caustic soda & nbsp

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, according to the influencing factors of the spot market, the operation of the equipment of most enterprises on the supply side is stable, the supply of goods on the market is relatively sufficient, and caustic soda enterprises have shipping pressure; at the beginning of the year, there are individual devices with maintenance plans, or there is a certain support for local prices, and it is expected that there will be little change in the later stage of the installation in most areas. There is no obvious improvement in procurement demand in the downstream enterprises on the demand side, and the overall performance of the demand side is weak and stable. On the whole, the spot market may show regional changes in the near future, and the price of each region is mainly adjusted flexibly.

Futures: the price of caustic soda SH2405 contract rose more obviously on the first day of the new year, and today's futures price broke through the 2900 mark and approached the position of Brin belt on the track. Trading situation: more than 23.2% versus 19.4%, 14.9% vs. 18.9%, bullish sentiment is relatively obvious. The main thing is to increase the position of the disk. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues upward, the KD line at the daily level tends to cross, and the golden fork trend of MACD line narrows. As a whole, the short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract may continue to oscillate and test the upper rail pressure level.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

December twenty _ ninth

January second

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

-200-1

-100-100

100/99

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

-200-1

-100-100

100/99

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

-150-1

1-100

151/99

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

-50-150

-50-150

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

300-400

300-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

-100-1

1-100

101/99

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on January 2, China's liquid chlorine spot index rose 44.67, or 27.52%, and China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: