Caustic soda: The price of high-concentration alkali continues to rise sporadically, the market continues to rise and is weak, and futures prices fluctuate downward

Caustic soda futures analysis:    December 27th SH2405 contract opening price: 2820, highest price: 2842, lowest price: 2783, spread: 59, position: 67775, position reduction: 4413, settlement price: 2815, yesterday settlement: 2849, down: 34, closing price: 2794, daily trading volume: 111657 hands, precipitated capital: 1.363 billion, capital outflow: 101 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Spot analysis of caustic soda:      the overall caustic soda market moves steadily today, the price adjustment is slightly different, the market transaction atmosphere is relatively light, the operator mentality is cautious, the price adjustment in a few areas, the market in most areas is stable, and the price adjustment is more cautious. Today, the operation of the liquid alkali market is stable in most areas, and prices in some areas have been slightly adjusted, but there are still some differences in the direction of adjustment. From the point of view of price adjustment in various regions, the price of 32% ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped by 100 yuan / ton, and the price of 50% ionic membrane alkali has increased by 10-20 yuan / ton. the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The price of low-concentration alkali decreased slightly in some areas, mainly due to poor local downstream demand, and the shipping situation of enterprises was not smooth, so the price reduction promoted the transaction; in some areas, the supply volume of goods in the high-concentration alkali market decreased relatively, and the price continued to rise mainly. The performance of the market in other areas is stable, most of the devices start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, and the supply and demand side does not change much. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price center for the time being. The upstream production enterprise individual sporadic adjustment, most manufacturers stable price wait and see mainly, the mentality performance is relatively cautious. Today, the tablet alkali market continues to operate weakly, with the center of gravity of local market transactions moving down 50-100 yuan / ton. Most of the upstream production enterprises are stable in operation, and the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, with little change on both sides of supply and demand, lack of confidence in the future, flat market trading, and more wait-and-see market.

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract continues to fluctuate downwards. After the night trading price rose slightly to today's highest point, it began to wobble downwards. The price fluctuated in a narrow range in the morning and dived slightly in the afternoon before bottoming out and rebounding slightly. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2783-2842 throughout the day, with a price difference of 59% and a reduction of 4413 positions in the contract. So far, 67775 positions have been held.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 0.405% to 2669.26, down 10.85%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Spot aspect: at present, near the end of the month, most operators are more cautious, the enthusiasm of receiving goods is not high, and each region is mainly flexible to adjust prices. The overall change of both supply and demand in the liquid alkali market is small, maintaining the operation of the situation of more supply and less demand, the negative production of downstream enterprises in some areas, the reduction of demand and the weakening of market support, and the shipping pressure of caustic soda enterprises still exists. on the other hand, local devices have negative reduction plans or have certain support for local prices, and it is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market will continue to show differential operation. In the tablet alkali market, except for the unstable production of individual devices, the start-up of most other devices is stable, there is no greater pressure on the supply side, and more rigid demand procurement is maintained downstream. There is no obvious pre-festival stock preparation behavior near New Year's Day, and the operators are mainly waiting for the market. It is expected that the short-term tablet alkali market will maintain a weak operation.

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract prices continue to fall mainly, today fell back to Brin belt on the track below the operation, the disk continued to reduce positions down. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues upward; the KD line at the daily level has a trend of dead fork, and the MACD line shows a golden fork trend. At present, the Red Sea event ended in the market fermentation, the overall price began to fall, short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract may continue to decline.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on December 27th, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 162.33, down 39, or 19.37%. China's liquid chlorine index fell.

Caustic soda holding the list: