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Caustic soda: Futures prices closed their daily limit and hit a new high in March. Markets on the market increased sharply, and spot prices adjusted sporadically.

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December 25, 2023, 9:37 AM


Caustic soda futures analysis:    December 22nd SH2405 contract opening price: 2752, the highest price: 2972, the lowest price: 2743, the spread: 229, the position: 80508, the increase: 21289, the settlement price: 2859, yesterday's settlement: 2701, up: 158, the closing price: 2814, the daily trading volume: 556139 hands, the precipitation capital: 1.631 billion, the capital inflow: 461 million.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

December twenty first

December twenty _ second

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

950-1300

950-1300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

736-784

736-784

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

760-830

760-830

0/0

-

Hebei

780-830

780-820

0/-10

Ex-factory price

South China

910-1050

910-1050

0/0

Can price

Shandong

730-790

730-790

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

1000-1050

1000-1050

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

760-860

760-860

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2400-2450

2400-2450

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

820-860

820-860

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2800-3000

2800-3000

0/0

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1130-1280

1130-1280

0/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1270-1290

1270-1290

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1140-1250

1140-1250

0/0

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2400-2550

2400-2550

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3000-3200

3000-3200

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

2750-3000

2750-3000

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3500-3550

3500-3550

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1230-1350

1230-1350

0/0

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

870-930

870-930

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

3000-3200

3000-3200

0/0

A discount of 100%

 

Spot analysis of caustic soda:      caustic soda market moves steadily today, the market in most areas is stable, the market trading situation is lukewarm, and the market supply and demand in some areas has changed slightly, affecting the local market trend. Today, the overall trend of liquid alkali prices has not changed much, the market transaction atmosphere is general, prices in most areas are stable, prices in some areas have dropped slightly. From the perspective of price adjustment in various regional markets, the price of 32% ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 10 yuan per ton, while the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The purchasing enthusiasm of downstream and merchants in individual areas is not high, the performance on the demand side is weak, it is bad for local prices, and the price center of gravity of market transactions moves down. The performance of the market in other areas is stable, most of the devices start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, and the supply and demand side does not change much. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price center for the time being. Upstream production enterprises a small number of manufacturers lowered ex-factory quotations, most manufacturers stable prices wait and see, the state of mind is relatively cautious. Today, the transaction situation of the tablet alkali market is relatively flexible, the regional market is stable, and the quotation of manufacturers is relatively stable. The equipment of the tablet alkali factory is in the overhaul device, and the production situation is reduced in stages. There is no obvious change in the transaction price in each regional market, and the market trading atmosphere is light and stable.

 

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract rose significantly, night prices fluctuated upward, after the opening of morning trading, first concussive operation, and then strong upward, once hit the limit of 2975, the final shock downward, afternoon prices continue the downward trend. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2743-2972 throughout the day, with a price difference of 229 and a position of 21289 hands, with a position of 80508 hands so far.

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 0.102% to 2681.18, down 2.73%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

 

 

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract soared today, once hit the limit of 2972, but did not seal the limit, and then began to decline. The technical level shows that the opening of the middle and upper rail of the Bolin belt (13,13,2) is upward, the opening of the lower rail is downward, and the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a golden fork trend, but the golden fork trend of the KD line has an obvious narrowing trend. The futures price is more obvious above the MA combination line. Related products alumina futures also closed the limit board, Guinean oil depot blew up alumina, futures prices rose sharply, the caustic soda plate also stimulated. As of the close this afternoon, the shadow line of the futures price is longer, and the short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract is concerned about the upper pressure.

Spot aspect: near the weekend, the wait-and-see mood of the caustic soda market increased, today's prices in most areas did not see a significant adjustment. At present, there are still regional differences in the caustic soda market in the face of market influence. although individual enterprises have maintenance conditions and supply is relatively reduced, downstream demand has not substantially improved, although rigid demand has supported part of the transaction. However, it is still unable to stimulate a significant improvement in the market, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the market still exists. At present, the overall performance of supply and demand in various regions is relatively stable, most of them hold a wait-and-see mentality, and there is no clear guidance on the market trend for the time being. It is expected that the short-term market trend of caustic soda may be adjusted flexibly.

 

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

December twenty first

December twenty _ second

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

200-350

200-350

0/0

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

100-150

150-200

50/50

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

50-200

50-200

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

200-300

200-300

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

300-400

300-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

200-400

200-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on December 22nd, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 306.67, up 5.56, or 1.85%. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

 

 

Caustic soda holding the list: