Caustic soda futures analysis: December 13 SH2405 contract opening price: 2677, highest price: 2691, lowest price: 2636, spread: 55, position: 53622, reduced position: 4006, settlement price: 2666, yesterday settlement: 2678, down: 12, closing price: 2660, daily trading volume: 90250 hands, precipitated capital: 1.027 billion, capital outflow: 85.04 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Specifications |
Market |
December twelfth |
December thirteenth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
32% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
950-1300 |
950-1300 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Northwest |
736-784 |
736-784 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
North China |
760-840 |
760-840 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Hebei |
770-840 |
780-840 |
10/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
South China |
910-1050 |
910-1050 |
0/0 |
Can price |
|
Shandong |
730-850 |
730-830 |
0/-20 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Zhejiang |
980-1060 |
980-1060 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Jiangsu Province |
760-860 |
760-860 |
0/0 |
Delivery price |
|
Tianjin |
2430-2450 |
2400-2450 |
-30/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Anhui Province |
820-860 |
820-860 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Henan |
2800-3000 |
2800-3000 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
50% ionic membrane alkali |
North China |
1200-1330 |
1200-1330 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Hebei |
1310-1330 |
1310-1330 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Shandong |
1200-1250 |
1200-1250 |
0/0 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Tianjin |
2550-2600 |
2550-2600 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Southwest |
3100-3300 |
3000-3200 |
-100/-100 |
A discount of 100% |
|
99% tablet alkali |
Northwest |
2800-2950 |
2800-3000 |
0/50 |
Ex-factory price |
Shandong |
3500-3650 |
3500-3650 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
45% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1680-1750 |
1680-1750 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
49% ionic membrane alkali |
Jiangsu Province |
1270-1350 |
1270-1350 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
30% ionic membrane alkali |
Southwest |
900-960 |
870-930 |
-30/-30 |
- |
48% ionic membrane alkali |
Henan |
3000-3200 |
3000-3200 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
Caustic soda spot analysis: caustic soda market trend is slightly different today, local price adjustment, showing a rising and falling trend, market trading situation shows a lukewarm situation, individual regional market supply and demand situation has changed slightly, affecting the local market trend. Today, the price of liquid alkali varies, and the market trend is different to a certain extent. The price in most areas is stable, but there is no obvious adjustment, and the price in a few areas has changed slightly. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, the price of 32% ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 20-30 yuan / ton, individual price has increased by 10 yuan / ton, 50% ionic membrane alkali price has dropped 100 yuan / ton in some areas, and 30% ionic membrane alkali has dropped 30 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali remained stable, and the price range was not significantly adjusted. The center of gravity of the market transaction price in individual areas moved slightly upward, mainly due to the increase in the load of the local high concentration alkali plant, the increase in the consumption of low concentration alkali, and the reduction of load production by the low concentration alkali plant of enterprises, and the supply of goods on the market decreased, which is favorable to the price in this region; the price decline in some areas is mainly affected by poor downstream receiving conditions. The performance of the market in other areas is stable, most of the devices start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, and the supply and demand side does not change much. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price center for the time being. Upstream production enterprises a small number of manufacturers lowered ex-factory quotations, most manufacturers stable prices wait and see, the state of mind is relatively cautious. Today, the market transaction price center of gravity in some areas of the tablet alkali market has moved slightly upward, and the market in most areas is operating steadily, mainly waiting for the market, and the downstream receiving situation is stable, maintaining the lukewarm situation. The snowfall weather has a certain impact on transportation, the arrival of goods is different, and the supply of goods in some areas is relatively tight. The ex-factory quotations of manufacturers in Northwest China have been slightly raised, and the start-up of most devices is stable.
Caustic soda futures analysis: caustic soda SH2405 contract showed a downward trend, after the opening of night trading, the futures price slightly rose to the intraday high 2691 and then began to fluctuate, and fell obviously in the last session, and showed a downward trend again after a small rise in early trading. The afternoon price rebounded, but when the power was insufficient, it went down again. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2636-2691 throughout the day, with a price difference of 55%. The position in the contract was reduced by 4006 hands, and so far it has held 53622 positions.
Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index was 2724.8 on December 13, up 2.21%, or 0.081%. China's caustic soda index rose.
Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:  
Futures: the futures price of caustic soda SH2405 contract has fallen somewhat today, and in terms of trading volume, 14.9% more than empty 15.2%, empty 16.5% versus Duoping 22.3%. The futures price failed to continue to rise after Sanlianyang, and the upper-track pressure level worked. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bolin belt (13, 13, 2) continues upward, and the KD line and MACD line at the daily level show a golden fork trend. Short-term caustic soda SH2405 contracts focus on the performance of the range 2625-2700.
Spot: at present, there are regional differences in the supply side of the liquid alkali market, the start-up of the plant in most areas is stable, the temporary load reduction occurs in a few units, the recovery time is to be determined, and the supply side has different positive and negative effects on each regional market. the overall downstream demand almost maintains a weak and stable trend, showing a trend of rigid demand procurement, the mentality of operators in most areas is relatively cautious, and it is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market as a whole or maintain weak and stable operation. Prices in individual regions may show an upward trend under the support of the supply side. The northern part of the tablet alkali market is affected by the snowfall weather, the transportation efficiency of the source of goods is reduced, the transport speed slows down, some piece alkali devices are overhauled, the recent recovery is expected, the downstream demand remains stable and stable, and it is expected that the tablet alkali market may move steadily in the short term.
Market price of liquid chlorine:
Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Area |
December twelfth |
December thirteenth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
Northeast China |
1-200 |
1-200 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Shandong province |
100-300 |
100-300 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Zhejiang Province |
500-600 |
500-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
East China region |
1-100 |
1-100 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Southwest China |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Central China |
50-200 |
50-200 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Inner Mongolia |
200-300 |
200-300 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Anhui province |
300-400 |
300-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Hebei Province |
100-300 |
100-300 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Liquid chlorine index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, on December 13, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 256.78, down 0, with a range of 0%. China's liquid chlorine index is stable.
Caustic soda holding the list: