Caustic soda: Futures prices were slightly reduced, showing a golden fork at the technical level, and spot prices fell regionally

Caustic soda futures analysis:    December 11 SH2405 contract opening price: 2628, highest price: 2677, lowest price: 2592, spread: 85, position: 56292, reduced position: 509, settlement price: 2644, yesterday settlement: 2661, down: 17, closing price: 2651, daily trading volume: 131705 hands, precipitated capital: 1.074 billion, capital outflow: 6.03 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Caustic soda spot analysis:      caustic soda market today as a whole regional decline, the mentality of some areas cautious, prices have not changed significantly. At the beginning of the week, the performance of market transactions was general, the overall performance of supply in the market was sufficient and stable, and the downstream maintained the rhythm of rigid demand procurement. Today, the price of liquid alkali has fallen regionally, the market performance in some areas is weak, and the price center of market transaction has shifted downwards. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, the price of 32% ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 20-50 yuan / ton, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali price has dropped by 50-70 yuan / ton, and 49% of the ion-exchange membrane alkali price has dropped by 30 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. First of all, the market supply in individual areas is relatively sufficient, the downstream receiving enthusiasm is poor, it is bad for the local market, and the market transaction price center of gravity drops; the local market transaction situation is general, and the enterprise shipping pressure is greater, in this case, the enterprise reduces the price to promote the transaction; the high concentration alkali price transaction situation is not good, and the export order whole is limited, the market performance is weak, the price falls mainly. The performance of the market in other areas is stable, most of the devices start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, and the supply and demand side does not change much. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and there is no obvious change in the transaction price center for the time being. A small number of upstream production enterprises lowered the ex-factory quotation, most manufacturers wait and see to stabilize the price, and the mentality is relatively cautious. Today, the performance of the tablet alkali market is dull, the start-up of most devices is relatively stable, the production situation is relatively normal, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, the downstream procurement situation is stable, the procurement rhythm of rigid demand in the early stage is maintained, and the market transaction atmosphere is general. at the beginning of the week, the factory quotation of tablet alkali in individual areas fell narrowly, the market transaction price moved down in some areas, and most markets waited and saw the market at the beginning of the week.

Caustic soda futures analysis:    caustic soda SH2405 contract trend as a whole fell first and then rose, and then began to fall after the night trading price rose slightly, early trading late price concussion upward, late afternoon concussion, afternoon prices fluctuated near the 2660 line. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated between 2592 and 2677 throughout the day, with a price difference of 85 and a reduction of 509 positions, with 56292 positions so far.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 1.07% to 2731.84, down 29.55%, while China's caustic soda index fell.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:    

Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract overall volatility intensified, disk operation shows a positive column cross star, but the lower shadow is slightly longer; today's trading situation: open 17.2% more than empty 17.7%, empty 17.3% vs. 19.5%. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) is upward, the KD line and MACD line of the daily line show a golden fork trend, the high point of the futures price is close to the upward track, and the short-term caustic soda SH2405 contract price may still be upward. pay attention to the pressure level of the upper track position.

Spot aspect: at present, from the supply side of the liquid alkali market, the start-up of production enterprises in various regions has basically remained stable, the production situation is normal, and the inventory of enterprises in some areas has increased, while the downstream industries have almost maintained a lukewarm situation of operation. multi-rigid demand procurement, the enthusiasm for receiving goods is not high, the overall performance of demand is weak, and the fundamentals are weak to the market. It is expected that there may still be room for decline in the short-term liquid alkali market. The production of most devices in the tablet alkali market is normal, and the downstream is also dominated by rigid demand procurement, the enterprise pre-sale situation is normal, the inventory pressure is not great, the market wait-and-see mood is strong at the beginning of the week, pay attention to the announcement of the new order price in the northwest region in the next two days.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index rose 38.89%, or 12.92%, to 340 on December 11. China's liquid chlorine index rose.

Caustic soda holding the list: