1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, China's soda ash prices are rising steadily. As of now, China's light soda prices are between 2,700 - 2,950 yuan/ton, and the heavy soda prices are between 2,900 - 3,100 yuan/ton. This week, as early maintenance companies resume production, the market has started to start. Improvement; Recently, the soda ash market is operating well, companies have delivered early orders in hand, and the inventory of some manufacturers has maintained a downward trend; Demand in the downstream market is stable, and companies 'purchasing enthusiasm is still acceptable. However, as soda ash prices continue to rise, some downstream companies have become cautious in purchasing and maintain the focus of buying just in need; in addition, soda ash futures prices have continued to rise, and soda ash spot prices have been firm at a high level. The soda ash market is operating at a high level.
Forecast for next week: The soda ash market starts at a high level, and the company's quotations are firm because manufacturers still have to place orders; the downstream market demand has not been adjusted in the short term. It is reported that some downstream manufacturers have low inventories and the market demand is basically stable; However, due to the high level of soda ash, some manufacturers have high cost pressure, or there is the possibility of replacing other products, and the soda ash market will operate steadily at a high level in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
November 30 |
December 7 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2850 |
2925 |
75 |
2.63% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2850 |
3075 |
225 |
7.89% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2650 |
2850 |
200 |
7.55% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2775 |
3025 |
250 |
9.01% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2700 |
2775 |
75 |
2.78% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2725 |
2925 |
200 |
7.34% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2600 |
2800 |
200 |
7.69% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2675 |
2900 |
225 |
8.41% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
3000 |
3150 |
150 |
5.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3200 |
3250 |
50 |
1.56% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2675 |
2925 |
250 |
9.35% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2850 |
3100 |
250 |
8.77% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
2500 |
2700 |
200 |
8.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2550 |
2750 |
200 |
7.84% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of December 7 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1505 yuan/ton, up 145 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1095 yuan/ton, up 192 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
November 30 |
December 7 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
1360 |
1505 |
145 |
10.66% |
ammonia-soda process |
903 |
1095 |
192 |
21.26% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 85.08%, an increase of 0.09% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 663,500 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on December 7, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Huainan Debang |
60 |
On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined. |
|
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
December 1st, the company's equipment was repaired for 10 days |
|
Xinghua, Shaanxi |
30 |
On November 28, the company began to stop the equipment for maintenance and maintenance, and the time is expected to be until the end of December |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Qinghai Fantou |
140 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
Kunlun Jianye |
150 |
On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 368,500 tons, compared with 381,300 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 12,800 tons, or 3.36%.