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High soda ash prices are high, market purchases are cautious (12.7 Weekly Review of soda ash)

97,590
December 8, 2023, 5:29 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash prices are rising steadily. As of now, China's light soda prices are between 2,700 - 2,950 yuan/ton, and the heavy soda prices are between 2,900 - 3,100 yuan/ton. This week, as early maintenance companies resume production, the market has started to start. Improvement; Recently, the soda ash market is operating well, companies have delivered early orders in hand, and the inventory of some manufacturers has maintained a downward trend; Demand in the downstream market is stable, and companies 'purchasing enthusiasm is still acceptable. However, as soda ash prices continue to rise, some downstream companies have become cautious in purchasing and maintain the focus of buying just in need; in addition, soda ash futures prices have continued to rise, and soda ash spot prices have been firm at a high level. The soda ash market is operating at a high level.

 

Forecast for next week: The soda ash market starts at a high level, and the company's quotations are firm because manufacturers still have to place orders; the downstream market demand has not been adjusted in the short term. It is reported that some downstream manufacturers have low inventories and the market demand is basically stable; However, due to the high level of soda ash, some manufacturers have high cost pressure, or there is the possibility of replacing other products, and the soda ash market will operate steadily at a high level in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

November 30

December 7

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2850

2925

75

2.63%

heavy sodium carbonate

2850

3075

225

7.89%

in North China

light soda ash

2650

2850

200

7.55%

heavy sodium carbonate

2775

3025

250

9.01%

East China

light soda ash

2700

2775

75

2.78%

heavy sodium carbonate

2725

2925

200

7.34%

central China

light soda ash

2600

2800

200

7.69%

heavy sodium carbonate

2675

2900

225

8.41%

South China

light soda ash

3000

3150

150

5.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3200

3250

50

1.56%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2675

2925

250

9.35%

heavy sodium carbonate

2850

3100

250

8.77%

northwestern region

light soda ash

2500

2700

200

8.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2550

2750

200

7.84%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of December 7 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1505 yuan/ton, up 145 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1095 yuan/ton, up 192 yuan/ton from the previous week.

production process

November 30

December 7

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1360

1505

145

10.66%

ammonia-soda process

903

1095

192

21.26%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 85.08%, an increase of 0.09% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 663,500 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on December 7, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Huainan Debang

60

On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined.

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

December 1st, the company's equipment was repaired for 10 days

Xinghua, Shaanxi

30

On November 28, the company began to stop the equipment for maintenance and maintenance, and the time is expected to be until the end of December

chlor-alkali process

Qinghai Fantou

140

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

Kunlun Jianye

150

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 368,500 tons, compared with 381,300 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 12,800 tons, or 3.36%.