Caustic soda futures analysis: December 8 SH2405 contract opening price: 2567, the highest price: 2745, the lowest price: 2551, the spread: 194, the position: 56801, the increase: 5397, the settlement price: 2661, yesterday's settlement: 2555, up: 106, closing price: 2642, daily trading volume: 259877 hands, precipitated capital: 1.08 billion, capital inflow: 132 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Specifications |
Market |
December seventh |
December eighth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
32% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
950-1300 |
950-1300 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Northwest |
736-784 |
736-784 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
North China |
760-880 |
760-880 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Hebei |
790-880 |
790-880 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
South China |
930-1100 |
930-1050 |
0/-50 |
Can price |
|
Shandong |
730-860 |
730-860 |
0/0 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Zhejiang |
980-1060 |
980-1060 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Jiangsu Province |
780-860 |
780-860 |
0/0 |
Delivery price |
|
Tianjin |
2550-2570 |
2550-2570 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Anhui Province |
820-860 |
820-860 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Henan |
2800-3000 |
2800-3000 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
50% ionic membrane alkali |
North China |
1280-1380 |
1280-1380 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Hebei |
1380-1390 |
1380-1390 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Shandong |
1260-1330 |
1260-1330 |
0/0 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Tianjin |
2600-2800 |
2600-2800 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Southwest |
3100-3300 |
3100-3300 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
99% tablet alkali |
Northwest |
2800-2950 |
2800-2950 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Shandong |
3500-3650 |
3500-3650 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
45% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1680-1750 |
1680-1750 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
49% ionic membrane alkali |
Jiangsu Province |
1300-1380 |
1300-1380 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
30% ionic membrane alkali |
Southwest |
900-960 |
900-960 |
0/0 |
- |
48% ionic membrane alkali |
Henan |
3000-3200 |
3000-3200 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
Spot analysis of caustic soda: today's caustic soda market as a whole shows a stable trend of operation, prices are stable and small movements, individual regional market transaction price center of gravity slightly moved down, the mentality of most areas is relatively cautious, near the end of the week, more operators wait and see the market. Today, the price of liquid alkali has fallen in some areas, and the market in most regions has been stable. Judging from the price adjustment in various regions, the price of 32% ionic membrane alkali has individually dropped by 50 yuan per ton, while the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The market turnover in South China is poor, the downstream demand performance is lacklustre, the enterprise shipment situation is not ideal, the merchant mentality is relatively cautious, and the market transaction price center of gravity moves down mainly. The performance of the market in most other areas is stable, most of the installations start normally, the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement, the market transaction atmosphere is general, most of them maintain the previous level, the supply and demand side changes little, and the operation is relatively mild. there are no obvious factors affecting the market trend in the market, and the barycenter of transaction price has not changed significantly for the time being. Upstream production enterprises are also price-stable wait-and-see, the mentality of the performance is relatively cautious. Today, the tablet alkali market is operating steadily, and the ex-factory quotations and market transaction prices in various regions have not changed significantly. The overall plant start-up of the factory is stable, the enterprise inventory pressure is small, the supply does not change much, the downstream demand performance is lukewarm, the transaction situation of each regional market is relatively flexible, near the weekend, the market is mainly arranged and operated.
Caustic soda futures analysis: caustic soda SH2405 contract night trading small concussion operation, early trading after the opening of the futures price is more obvious, rose more than 100 points to 2745, the late trading fell slightly, afternoon prices continue to shock operation. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2551-2745 throughout the day, with a spread of 194 and 05 contracts with an increase of 5397 positions and 56801 positions so far.
Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, on December 8, China's caustic soda index was 2761.4, down 1.31, or 0.047%, while China's caustic soda index fell.
Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:  
Futures: the futures price of caustic soda SH2405 contract rises obviously, the intraday fluctuation is 194 points, and the obvious upside of the futures price makes obvious changes in the technical level. the technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13,13,2) changes upward, the KD line of the daily line crosses, the MACD line shows a golden fork trend again, and the high price breaks through the upper track and appears a phased high point. At present, the futures price repeatedly tests the low range, the shadow line of the futures price is longer, and the short-term market may continue to test the low range.
Spot aspect: near the weekend, the market mentality of each region is more cautious, most prices maintain yesterday's level operation, at present, the supply end of the caustic soda market is basically stable, most of the production enterprises are operating normally, and the overall performance of the supply side is stable. There is also no obvious change in the start-up of downstream enterprise installations, and most of them maintain rigid demand procurement. At present, the overall performance of supply and demand is relatively stable, there is no clear guidance to the market trend, and most of them hold a wait-and-see mentality. It is expected that the short-term market trend of caustic soda may be adjusted flexibly.
Market price of liquid chlorine:
Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton) |
||||
Area |
December seventh |
December eighth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
Northeast China |
100-300 |
100-300 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Shandong province |
250-400 |
200-400 |
-50/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Zhejiang Province |
500-600 |
500-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
East China region |
50-150 |
50-150 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Southwest China |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Central China |
150-250 |
50-200 |
-100/-50 |
Tank car quotation |
Inner Mongolia |
200-300 |
200-300 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Anhui province |
300-400 |
300-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Hebei Province |
200-400 |
200-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Liquid chlorine index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, on December 8, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 301.11, down 5.56, or 1.81%, and China's liquid chlorine index was lowered.