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Polyester industry chain: lack of cost support, polyester market remains weak

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December 5, 2023, 4:18 PM

I. the market trend chart of polyester industry chain

On December 5th, the market price index of ethylene glycol was 4048.95, down 15.64 from the previous working day.

 

China's PTA market price index was 5650 on Dec. 5, down 40% from the previous working day.

 

The market price index of polyester chips was 6625, down 25% from the previous working day. The market price index of polyester bottle chips was 6775 the same as that of the previous working day.

 

II. Summary of market price of polyester industry chain

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

PTA

Spot

East China

5650

5690

-40

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

Glycol

Polyester grade

East China

4015

4050

-35

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Polyester grade

South China

4120

4130

-10

Short delivery including tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester chip

Semi-light section

East China

6625

6650

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Light slicing

6650

6675

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester bottle chip

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

East China

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

South China

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6775

6775

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester filament

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY150D/48F

East China

7475

7475

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market FDY150D/96F

8125

8125

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market DTY150D/48F

8800

8800

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY75D/72F

7600

7600

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester staple yarn

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Jiangsu Province

7175

7200

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Zhejiang

7250

7300

-50

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

III. Brief introduction of Polyester Industry chain Market

PTA

Today, the East China PTA spot market continues to pull back, with a reference of 5650 yuan / ton. This week and next week, the main port delivery 01 liters of water 2-5 near the transaction and negotiations. International crude oil prices fell, commodity market atmosphere weakened, PTA futures market continued to decline. Spot base margin is adjusted slightly, traders and polyester factories are mainly buying rigid demand, and the market mentality is cautious. The short-term market is expected to maintain a weak adjustment.

Glycol

Today, the market price of ethylene glycol is narrow and weak. International crude oil prices fell and depressed, the market mentality was cautious, the focus of negotiations in the ethylene glycol market dropped slightly, and the quotation in East China revolved around 4015 yuan / ton, down 35 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day. The quotation in South China is around 4120 yuan / ton. Ethylene glycol port inventory remains high, downstream polyester load remains stable, and rigid demand is maintained. The market lacks continuous drive, and the ethylene glycol market is expected to remain volatile in the short term.

Polyester chip

Today, the polyester chip market is weak. The polyester raw material PTA market continues to weaken, the cost end support is insufficient, the polyester chip market low-end offer increases, the market transaction center of gravity drops slightly. Downstream cautious follow-up, market production and sales light. It is expected that the polyester chip market will maintain the finishing operation in the short term.

Polyester bottle chip

Today's polyester bottle chip market is arranged in a narrow range. Polyester raw material PTA market continues to be weak, lack of cost support, some bottle chip manufacturers offer slightly lower, market offer on the low end; downstream demand is weak, carefully wait and see the market trend. It is expected that the short-term lactone bottle market may maintain finishing.

Polyester filament

Today, the market of polyester filament is adjusted in a narrow range. Polyester raw material market is weak, the market support is general, the mainstream polyester filament factory quotation is stable, individual small adjustment, the market transaction center of gravity fluctuates slightly. The downstream demand is weak, and the market production and marketing is light. It is expected that the market price of filament will tend to be sorted out in the short term.

Polyester staple fiber

Today, the polyester staple market fell in a narrow range. The cost end continues to weaken to the market support is insufficient, the staple fiber market negotiates the price to fall slightly. Downstream demand follow-up is general, market production and marketing is depressed. It is expected that the short-term market price of polyester staple fiber will be maintained.

IV. Polyester Raw material Futures Market

PTA:  December 5th PTA main 2401 contract opening price: 5646, lowest price: 5612, highest price: 5676, closing price: 5660, settlement price: 5648, down 30, position: 814502.

 

Ethylene glycol: December 5th EG main contract 2401 opening price: 4064, lowest price: 4023, highest price: 4079, closing price: 4027, settlement price: 4044, down 56, position: 353923.

V. production and marketing data of polyester market

Product

2023.12.5

2023.12.4

Rise and fall

Unit

Polyester chip

30%

35%

-5%

%

Polyester filament

40%

35%

+5%

%

Polyester staple fiber

30%

35%

-5%

%

VI. Future forecast

The international crude oil market falls, the cost support is insufficient, the supply and demand side of polyester raw material PTA and ethylene glycol market is empty, it is expected that the short-term market will be weak to adjust, polyester raw material end support will be weakened, polyester market offer will be slightly adjusted with cost, downstream rigid demand for stock, market production and sales light. Short-term polyester market prices are expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. In the later stage, we should pay close attention to the changes of the raw material market and the supply and demand of polyester itself.