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Manufacturers 'low inventory soda prices rise collectively (11.30 Weekly Review of soda ash)

97,694
December 1, 2023, 5:23 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash market is operating well, and the market price is rising at a high level. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 2,550 - 2,800 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 2,700 - 2,850 yuan/ton. This week, some soda ash manufacturers have installed maintenance, and there have been a slight decline in industry start-up. There are still some companies under maintenance; The soda ash market maintained its upward trend, and the market signing situation was relatively good. Manufacturers delivered orders on hand, light soda inventories continued to show a downward trend, and some manufacturers 'heavy soda inventories increased; downstream demand remained stable, the market transaction atmosphere was good, manufacturers' inventories were low, soda ash prices were stable and rising.

 

Forecast for next week: There will still be some manufacturers in the market for maintenance in the near future, and there will be little change in the short term. As companies resume production in the later period, the market supply will increase; as soda ash prices rise to high levels, companies will be cautious in purchasing, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude; due to the low inventory of manufacturers, soda ash prices will continue to operate at high levels in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

November 23

November 30

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2525

2850

325

12.87%

heavy sodium carbonate

2625

2850

225

8.57%

in North China

light soda ash

2450

2650

200

8.16%

heavy sodium carbonate

2550

2775

225

8.82%

East China

light soda ash

2375

2700

325

13.68%

heavy sodium carbonate

2450

2725

275

11.22%

central China

light soda ash

2250

2600

350

15.56%

heavy sodium carbonate

2450

2675

225

9.18%

South China

light soda ash

2500

3000

500

20.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2650

3200

550

20.75%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2600

2675

75

2.88%

heavy sodium carbonate

2750

2850

100

3.64%

northwestern region

light soda ash

2300

2500

200

8.70%

heavy sodium carbonate

2425

2550

125

5.15%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of November 30 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1360 yuan/ton, up 352 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia alkali method was 903 yuan/ton, up 235 yuan/ton from the previous week.

production process

November 23

November 30

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1008

1360

352

34.92%

ammonia-soda process

668

903

235

35.18%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 85%, down 4.49% month-on-month. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 660,200 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on November 30, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Huainan Debang

60

On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined.

Hubei shuanghuan

110

On November 26, some equipment of the company was repaired for 3 days

Xinghua, Shaanxi

30

On November 28, the company began to stop the equipment for maintenance and maintenance, and the time is expected to be until the end of December

chlor-alkali process

Qinghai Fantou

140

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

Kunlun Jianye

150

On October 28, the company's equipment was reduced and repaired, and the recovery time was to be determined

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 381,300 tons, compared with 408,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 26,700 tons, or 6.54%.