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On November 22nd, the price index of general-grade ethanol was 6183.25, which was stable from the previous working day.
& nbsp; the price of ethanol in China is stable. November 22 hot spots: first, Henan superior prices are stable. Second, prices in East China are stable. Third, prices in Northeast China are stable, orders are delivered, and snow begins to fall in some areas. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is stable. Fifth, chemical rigid demand procurement.
Specifically, the early order delivery of enterprises in Northeast China, large orders of large factories in Heilongjiang can be negotiated, and snow began to fall in some areas, affecting the speed of delivery. The superior and high-end price in Henan area disappears and the order is delivered. East China prices remain stable, non-local source consumption is the main, chemical rigid demand procurement. Northeast enterprise Jilin market price 6250-6350 yuan / ton, Jilin no water 6900-7100 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 6050-6200 yuan / ton, and the Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6800-6900 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6500-6550 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6600 yuan / ton and the water-free price is 7400 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6700 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 7400-7500 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6850-6950 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol & nbsp;6900-6950 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.
& nbsp; unit: yuan / ton
|
Area |
Specifications |
Market |
2023/11/22 |
2023/11/21 |
Rise and fall |
|
|
South China |
Cassava is anhydrous |
Guangxi |
7500-7600 |
7500-7600 |
0/0 |
|
|
Molasses 95% |
Guangxi |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
|
Cassava 95% |
Guangxi |
6900-6950 |
6900-6950 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
North China |
Superior grade |
Hebei |
- |
- |
- |
|
|
No water |
Hebei |
7250-7350 |
7250-7350 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
Northeast China |
General level |
Jilin |
6250-6300 |
6250-6300 |
0/0 |
|
|
No water |
Jilin |
6900-7100 |
6900-7100 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
General level |
Jinzhou |
6500-6550 |
6500-6550 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
General level |
Heilongjiang Province |
6050-6200 |
6050-6200 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
East China |
General level |
Anhui Province |
6750-6800 |
6750-6800 |
0/0 |
|
|
No water |
Anhui Province |
7400-7550 |
7400-7550 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
No water |
Shandong |
7400-7500 |
7400-7500 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
General level |
Shandong |
6700-6750 |
6700-6750 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
Superior grade |
Shandong |
6850-7050 |
6850-7050 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
Send it to other places without water. |
Shandong |
7350-7500 |
7350-7500 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
General level |
Northern Jiangsu |
6700-6700 |
6700-6700 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
No water |
Northern Jiangsu |
7400-7500 |
7400-7500 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
General level |
Southern Jiangsu |
6850-6950 |
6850-6950 |
0/0 |
|
|
|
Central China |
Superior grade |
Henan |
6600-6600 |
6600-6650 |
0/-50 |
|
|
No water |
Henan |
7400-7400 |
7400-7450 |
0/-50 |
|
Raw materials / by-products and downstream
Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton
|
Area |
Market |
Raw materials / by-products |
2023/11/22 |
Remarks |
|
Northeast China |
Jilin |
Corn |
2400-2480 |
|
|
Northeast China |
Jilin |
DDGS |
2480-2550 |
|
|
Northeast China |
Heilongjiang Province |
Corn |
2330-2374 |
Less transactions at a low price |
|
Northeast China |
Heilongjiang Province |
DDGS |
2380-2480 |
High fat |
|
Central China |
Henan |
Corn |
2720-2740 |
|
|
Central China |
Henan |
DDGS |
2450-2600 |
|
|
Thailand |
|
Dried cassava |
275-279 |
|
|
Shandong |
|
Ethyl acetate |
6300-6340 |
Acceptance leaves the factory |
|
Jiangsu Province |
|
Ethyl acetate |
6400-6450 |
|
|
South China |
|
Ethyl acetate |
6450-6550 |
|
Future forecast: China's ethanol market is stable in the short term, orders are delivered in Northeast China, snowfall weather affects delivery, individual downstream chemicals have short-term shutdown plans, consumption decreases, and prices in Northeast China are expected to be stable or fluctuate slightly in the short term. After the price reduction in Henan Province, the purchase is general, and the price is expected to be weak. East China chemical rigid demand procurement, order delivery, individual factories have a start plan at the end of the month and the beginning of the month.
Raw material: corn ethanol: China's corn fell to a low level in the early period, and farmers lost money and sold at a low price, but recently prices rebounded slightly and remained stable. At present, ddgs due to the rebound in corn prices, feed rebounded. In the aspect of dry cassava: enterprises have rigid demand for procurement, Thailand is willing to raise the price obviously, and the sales of dry cassava inventory are expected to be arranged at a high price in the short term. The market is low in price and average in quality.
Supply: northeast start: Dongning Hongda shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Luobei production, Cofco Zhaodong normal, Wanli installation normal, Hongzhan 4 factories normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production, Zhongkegreen production, Fuyu Huihai production; Fukang production, Tianyu production, Shuntong production, Dongfeng Huafeng production, Xintianlong normal, Liuniu production. Huadong Huatian production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin downtime, Guohua shutdown, Changxing downtime, Longhe downtime, Romat production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun shutdown, Maybohui shutdown, and MINUSTAH production. Three factories in Mengzhou, Henan Province are normal. Jufeng shuts down. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zhalantun production, Inner Mongolia Jietainuo plant production. Jilin fuel is normal, Guotou Tieling production. Tianguan Nanyang production. Guotou Jidong production. State Investment Helen production.
Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Liquor order purchase.
Logistics: high price arrangement of logistics.
Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises
|
Enterprise name |
Production capacity (10,000 tons / year) |
Maintenance involves production capacity |
Maintenance start time |
Remarks |
|
Hongzhan (Jixian) |
60 |
60 |
April fifteenth |
Start up on May 6th |
|
Jilin Fukang |
50 |
4 |
March 28th |
|
|
Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil |
3 |
3 |
Late March |
|
|
Inner Mongolia Shuntong |
12 |
12 |
Production on October 8th |
|
|
Heilongjiang Zhongke Green |
10 |
10 |
Production on August 30th |
|
|
Fulaichun, Shandong Province |
20 |
20 |
Stop the machine |
|
|
Jiangsu Dongcheng |
15 |
15 |
Stop the machine |
|
|
Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang |
5 |
5 |
Stop the machine |
|
|
Jiangsu Haiyan |
15 |
15 |
Start up in the middle of May |
|
|
Jiangsu Maibo remittance |
8 |
8 |
Stop feeding at the beginning of April |
|
|
Shuyang Guohua |
5 |
5 |
Resume downtime in mid-August around July 10 |
|
|
Anhui COFCO |
75 |
30 |
It is expected to shut down in September on April 20th. |
|
|
Anhui Wuhechun |
8 |
8 |
Stop the machine |
|
|
Jilin Xintianlong |
30 |
30 |
Shut down on May 5, start on the 17th, reduce production on the 21st, full production on July 15th. |
|
|
Heilongjiang Sheng long |
15 |
15 |
Shut down on April 27-start on June 5, put in material from July 19 to September 16 |
|
|
Inner Mongolia Liniu |
10 |
10 |
October production |
|
|
Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province |
30 |
30 |
One-line production |
|
|
Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province |
50 |
50 |
Open on May 21 and shut down on October 26th |
|
|
Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain |
10 |
10 |
Fire from 17 April to 9 October |
|
|
National Investment Helen |
30 |
30 |
April 12-May 24, September 20-September 26 |
Fuel fuel |
|
Guotou Jidong |
30 |
30 |
April 3rd |
Fuel fuel |
|
Zhenjiang Changxing |
10 |
10 |
All machines were shut down on May 16, June 5, July 19, August 28, November 6. |
|
|
Jin Changlin in Lianyungang |
5 |
5 |
Shutdown on May 18, production on August 7, shutdown around August 15. |
|
|
Hongzhang, ha. |
60 |
30 |
From 27 May to 20 July, Phase II from September 25 to October 9 |
|
|
Fukang |
50 |
50 |
Feed from August 10 to August 31 |
|
|
Tianyu |
15 |
15 |
Stop feeding on July 21 and feed on August 13 |
|
|
Cofco Zhaodong |
30 |
10 |
Stop feeding on June 5-June 20, July 15 stop fuel production on July 31, feed on August 15 |
|
|
Chifeng Ruiyang |
8 |
8 |
Shut down on June 10th and feed on July 4th. |
|
|
Hongzhan Tahiko |
30 |
30 |
Stop from June 20th to July 5th |
|
|
Wanli Runda |
60 |
60 |
Shutdown on July 15th and feeding on July 31st |
|
|
Lianyungang Longhe River |
10 |
10 |
July 3 device stop feeding August 21 feeding November 3 shutdown |
|
|
Jiangsu sul alcohol |
12 |
12 |
The device was shut down on July 3 |
|
|
Liaoyuan giant peak |
50 |
50 |
Production stopped on July 4th and August 1st. |
|
|
Zalantun |
10 |
10 |
The product will be released around July 6th. |
|
|
Shandong Yingxuan |
20 |
20 |
Shut down at the end of June and put in material on July 25. |
|
|
Jilin fuel |
70 |
70 |
The two lines will be inspected from 31 July to 20 August. |
|
|
Guotou Tieling |
30 |
30 |
The machine was shut down on July 31 for maintenance and put in the material on August 10. |
|
|
Henan Nanyang Tianguan |
30 |
30 |
August 15 put into production |
|
|
Romet. |
5 |
5 |
August 18 put into production |
|
|
Fuyu Huihai |
5 |
5 |
Downtime in mid-August-October 3 |
|
|
China Colleen |
10 |
10 |
Feeding starts on August 22nd |
|
|
Guotou Jidong |
30 |
30 |
Feed in early September |
|
|
Hongzhan Huannan |
30 |
30 |
October 08-October 22 |
|
Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.
