Caustic soda futures analysis: November 7 SH2405 contract opening price: 2687, highest price: 2700, lowest price: 2632, spread: 68, position: 66734, reduced position: 6969, settlement price: 2671, yesterday settlement: 2655, up: 16, closing price: 2642, daily trading volume: 158264 hands, precipitated capital: 1.269 billion, capital outflow: 155 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton) |
|||||
Specifications |
Market |
November sixth |
November seventh |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
32% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
950-1350 |
950-1350 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Northwest |
896-928 |
800-864 |
-96/-64 |
Ex-factory price |
|
North China |
760-840 |
750-840 |
-10/0 |
- |
|
Hebei |
810-840 |
810-840 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
South China |
1020-1280 |
950-1250 |
-70/-30 |
Can price |
|
Shandong |
730-870 |
730-820 |
0/-50 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Zhejiang |
1050-1100 |
1050-1100 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Jiangsu Province |
790-860 |
790-860 |
0/0 |
Delivery price |
|
Tianjin |
2600-2650 |
2600-2650 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Anhui Province |
760-880 |
760-880 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Henan |
2850-3000 |
2850-3000 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
50% ionic membrane alkali |
North China |
1320-1450 |
1270-1380 |
-50/-70 |
Ex-factory price |
Hebei |
1440-1450 |
1440-1450 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Shandong |
1280-1350 |
1250-1300 |
-30/-50 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Tianjin |
2900-3000 |
2900-3000 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Southwest |
3200-3300 |
3200-3300 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
99% tablet alkali |
Northwest |
2650-3000 |
2650-3000 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Shandong |
3500-3600 |
3500-3600 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
45% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1680-1750 |
1680-1750 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
49% ionic membrane alkali |
Jiangsu Province |
1320-1430 |
1320-1430 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
30% ionic membrane alkali |
Southwest |
940-1000 |
940-1000 |
0/0 |
- |
48% ionic membrane alkali |
Henan |
3100-3250 |
3100-3250 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
Caustic soda spot analysis: today, the overall trend of China's caustic soda market is still weak, prices in some regions have increased slightly, regional markets continue to show differential operation, liquid caustic soda market has mixed ups and downs, and tablet caustic soda market prices have increased slightly in individual regions. Today, the prices in the liquid alkali market are mixed, and the market mentality in some areas is cautious and the price is stable. Judging from the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 10-100 yuan / ton, and 50% of the ionic membrane alkali has dropped by 30-70 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The market trend in the main producing areas is slightly different, the plant start-up in some areas has decreased recently, and the inventory pressure has decreased, the market price has mainly risen, and other regional markets continue to maintain the previous level of operation; the price decline in some areas is mainly due to the start-up of local liquid alkali devices, the supply has increased, and the price center of gravity of market transactions has shifted downward. The downstream demand of individual southern regions is poor, the enterprise shipping pressure is greater, and the market price is mainly falling. The market prices in other regions are stable, the changes between supply and demand are not obvious, the market mentality is more cautious, and there is no obvious price adjustment. Upstream production enterprises manufacturers in some areas have raised their ex-factory quotations ranging from 10 to 60 yuan / ton, and a few have lowered their quotations, mostly concentrated in Shandong, while only individual manufacturers in other areas have adjusted their quotations. Today, in the northwest of the tablet alkali market, most manufacturers have not issued a new order price, and individual manufacturers have lowered their quotations. It is understood that there are differences in the price adjustment mentality of manufacturers. In most areas, the market is mainly wait-and-see, waiting for the new order price to be announced, and the operators' mentality is more cautious.
Caustic soda futures analysis: caustic soda SH2405 contract rose first and then fell today. Night market shock operation, did not see a big market appeared, after the opening of the morning price down slightly began to shock upward, in the afternoon continued to rise slightly to today's highest point, futures prices began to shock downward, and then continuously dived to the end of the market. As of today's close, SH2405 contracts fluctuated in the range of 2632-2700 throughout the day, with a price difference of 68jie 05 contract reduced positions by 6969 hands, so far position 66734 hands.
Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, on November 7, China's caustic soda index was 2828.63, down 36, or 1.257%. China's caustic soda index fell.
Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:  
Futures: caustic soda SH2405 contract again hit a new high today, but did not see a high to hold down sharply. The technical level shows that the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) opens upward, the futures price continues to run on the track, and the MA combination line looks to run completely above this, the pressure level on the track does not work for the time being, the gold fork trend of the KD line at the daily level narrows, and the MACD line gold fork trend continues; short-term futures may repeatedly test the track position and pay attention to 2670 points.
Spot aspect: at present, the spot market shows differential operation. First of all, positive factors appear in a few areas of the liquid alkali market. With the continuous decline in the price of liquid alkali, enterprises reduce the price and ship goods, and the signing of orders at the beginning of the month increases, which shows that the inventory pressure of enterprises has been reduced. In addition, on this basis, a small number of devices are overhauled, which also brings a certain boost to the market. In some areas, the mentality of price promotion will be increased in most areas in the later stage. The start-up of liquid alkali units in individual areas has an impact on the local favorable air, and it is expected that the short-term liquid alkali market or regional adjustment will be dominant, and the factors that guide the market trend in different regions are slightly different. From the point of view of the tablet alkali market, the inventory pressure of enterprises is not great, only individual enterprises have a small number of inventory, supply is supported by the market, most of the downstream maintain rigid demand procurement, there is no large hoarding situation, and the new order prices of a few manufacturers are announced. price reduction and stable coexistence, pay attention to the announcement of the prices of most other manufacturers.
Market price of liquid chlorine:
Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Area |
November sixth |
November seventh |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
Northeast China |
200-400 |
300-500 |
100/100 |
Tank car quotation |
Shandong province |
300-400 |
400-500 |
100/100 |
Tank car quotation |
Zhejiang Province |
500-600 |
500-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
East China region |
150-200 |
250-300 |
100/100 |
Tank car quotation |
Southwest China |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Central China |
150-350 |
150-350 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Inner Mongolia |
350-450 |
350-450 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Anhui province |
100-150 |
100-150 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Hebei Province |
300-500 |
400-600 |
100/100 |
Tank car quotation |
Liquid chlorine index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index rose 44.44%, or 12.9%, to 388.89 on November 7. China's liquid chlorine index rose.
Caustic soda holding the list: