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Polyester industry chain: Cost supports the stalemate in the polyester market

91,181
November 1, 2023, 4:56 PM

I. the market trend chart of polyester industry chain

On November 1st, the ethylene glycol market price index was 4048.49, up 2.35 from the previous working day.

 

On November 1st, China's PTA market price index was 5930, up 15% from the previous working day.

 

On November 1st, the market price of polyester chips was 6800, up 25% from the previous working day. The market price index of polyester bottle chips was 6875 the same as that of the previous working day.

 

II. Summary of market price of polyester industry chain

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

PTA

Spot

East China

5930

5915

+15

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

Glycol

Polyester grade

East China

4045

4030

+15

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Polyester grade

South China

4100

4150

-50

Short delivery including tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester chip

Semi-light section

East China

6800

6775

+25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Light slicing

6825

6800

+25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester bottle chip

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

East China

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

6975

6975

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

South China

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6875

6875

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

6975

6975

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester filament

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY150D/48F

East China

7275

7275

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market FDY150D/96F

7975

7975

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market DTY150D/48F

8600

8600

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY75D/72F

7550

7550

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester staple yarn

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Jiangsu Province

7400

7400

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Zhejiang

7475

7475

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

III. Brief introduction of Polyester Industry chain Market

PTA

Today, the spot market of PTA in East China is on the strong side, and we will consult around 5930 yuan / ton for negotiation. This week and next week, the main port delivery 01 liters of water 30-40 near the deal and negotiations. The international crude oil market fell, the market was more cautious, and the range of the PTA futures market adjusted. Spot basis fluctuates slightly, traders and polyester factories buy mainly in rigid demand, and the market mentality is cautious. It is expected that the short-term market will maintain a narrow adjustment.

Glycol

Today, the market price of ethylene glycol is in a narrow range. With the decline in the international crude oil market, the market mentality tends to be cautious, and the focus of negotiations in the ethylene glycol market has been adjusted slightly. The quotation in East China revolves around 4045 yuan / ton, up 15 yuan / ton from the previous working day. The quotation in South China is around 4100 yuan / ton. Ethylene glycol port inventory accumulation, downstream polyester load remains high, while the procurement mentality is cautious, the supply and demand side support is limited. Lack of continuous drive in the market, it is expected that the ethylene glycol market will adjust narrowly in the short term.

Polyester chip

Today, the polyester chip market is narrow and strong. Polyester raw materials PTA market high support, polyester chip manufacturers offer stability, market low-price supply convergence, market transaction center of gravity slightly increased. Downstream rigid demand replenishment, the market trading atmosphere is light. It is expected that the polyester chip market will maintain the finishing operation in the short term.

Polyester bottle chip

Today's polyester bottle chip market is arranged in a narrow range. Polyester raw materials PTA market maintenance finishing, bottle chip manufacturers offer remained stable, market offer a small adjustment; downstream demand is weak, the market trading atmosphere is general. It is expected that the short-term lactone bottle market may maintain finishing.

Polyester filament

Today's polyester filament market fluctuates in a narrow range. Polyester raw material PTA market finishing, cost support is general, polyester filament factory quotation is stable, market transaction focus change is limited. Downstream demand is relatively weak, the market production and marketing is depressed. It is expected that the market price of filament will be arranged in a narrow range in the short term.

Polyester staple fiber

Today, the market of polyester staple fiber is weak. High cost supports the market, and the staple fiber market talks about price maintenance and finishing. Downstream is mainly cautious wait-and-see, some production and sales rebounded. It is expected that the short-term market price of polyester staple fiber will be maintained.

IV. Polyester Raw material Futures Market

PTA:  November 1st PTA main 2401 contract opening price: 5900, lowest price: 5856, highest price: 5932, closing price: 5882, settlement price: 5894, up 0, position: 1319106.

 

Ethylene glycol: November 1st EG main contract 2401 opening price: 4124, lowest price: 4101, highest price: 4138, closing price: 4117, settlement price: 4119, up 3, position: 474304.

V. production and marketing data of polyester market

Product

2023.11.1

2023.10.31

Rise and fall

Unit

Polyester chip

45%

50%

-5%

%

Polyester filament

35%

40%

-5%

%

Polyester staple fiber

45%

35%

+10%

%

VI. Future forecast

The international crude oil market fluctuates at a high level, and the market mentality tends to be cautious. With the support of the supply and demand side of the polyester raw material PTA and ethylene glycol market, it is expected that the short-term market will adjust narrowly, the polyester raw material end will promote, the polyester market offer will adjust with the cost, the downstream demand will weaken, and the production and marketing of enterprises will be light. Short-term polyester market prices are expected to fluctuate within a narrow range. In the later stage, we should pay close attention to the changes of the raw material market and the supply and demand of polyester itself.