Caustic soda futures analysis: October 17 SH2405 contract opening price: 2650, highest price: 2655, lowest price: 2561, spread: 94, position: 103956, increase: 23082, settlement price: 2605, yesterday settlement: 2673, down: 68, closing price: 2569, daily trading volume: 298316 hands, precipitated capital: 1.923 billion, capital inflow: 375 million.
Market price of caustic soda:
Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Specifications |
Market |
October sixteenth |
October seventeenth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
32% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1170-1400 |
1170-1400 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Northwest |
912-1024 |
912-1024 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
North China |
930-1050 |
930-1030 |
0/-20 |
- |
|
Hebei |
1020-1050 |
990-1030 |
-30/-20 |
Ex-factory price |
|
South China |
1080-1350 |
1080-1350 |
0/0 |
Can price |
|
Shandong |
930-1030 |
910-990 |
-20/-40 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Zhejiang |
1150-1180 |
1130-1150 |
-20/-30 |
- |
|
Jiangsu Province |
890-1080 |
890-980 |
0/-100 |
Delivery price |
|
Tianjin |
3300-3400 |
3200-3300 |
-100/-100 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Anhui Province |
1020-1050 |
900-970 |
-120/-80 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Henan |
3250-3550 |
3250-3550 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
50% ionic membrane alkali |
North China |
1590-1750 |
1530-1630 |
-60/-120 |
Ex-factory price |
Hebei |
1710-1740 |
1630-1640 |
-80/-100 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Shandong |
1560-1670 |
1530-1570 |
-30/-100 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Tianjin |
3650-3700 |
3300-3400 |
-350/-300 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Southwest |
3400-3500 |
3400-3500 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
99% tablet alkali |
Northwest |
3200-3450 |
3200-3450 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Shandong |
3550-3650 |
3550-3650 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
45% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1680-1750 |
1680-1750 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
49% ionic membrane alkali |
Jiangsu Province |
1500-1640 |
1500-1640 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
30% ionic membrane alkali |
Southwest |
970-1030 |
970-1030 |
0/0 |
- |
48% ionic membrane alkali |
Henan |
3350-3850 |
3350-3850 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
Caustic soda spot analysis: today China's caustic soda market shows a weak downward trend, prices in most areas have fallen to varying degrees, the market trading atmosphere is poor, and some markets maintain a wait-and-see mood. Today, there is an obvious decline in most areas of the liquid alkali market, and the trading atmosphere in the market is weak. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 32% of the ionic membrane alkali has dropped 20-120 yuan / ton, 50% of the ionic membrane alkali has dropped 30-350 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The downward adjustment of the purchase price of alumina downstream of the main force is bad for the market, affected by the downward adjustment of the purchase price of liquid alkali downstream of the main force, the market mentality is dragged down, the transaction price of the market in the main producing area falls mainly, and the market in some areas is affected by the downward trend of the main producing area, the price falls accordingly; the situation of receiving goods downstream in some areas is poor, and there is a feeling of resistance to high prices, the shipping situation of chlor-alkali enterprises is not ideal, and the market transaction price center of gravity moves down. The overall trend of the market in other regions has not changed much. Although there are some differences between supply and demand in different regions, the market in the region is relatively stable. People in all regional industries wait and see the market mainly, and the operation of entering the market is more cautious. Upstream production enterprises manufacturers in some areas adjust ex-factory quotations, Shandong, East China downgrade enterprises in the majority, most enterprises in other areas have not adjusted ex-factory quotations, price adjustment mentality is more cautious. Today, there is no obvious change in the tablet alkali market, just on the day when the new order price is announced, all manufacturers wait and see the market carefully, there is no obvious price adjustment, the pre-sale of manufacturers is normal, the start of the plant is relatively stable, and the downstream demand maintains rigid demand procurement. The enthusiasm of businessmen to enter the market is general, and most of them continue to wait and see the market.
Caustic soda futures analysis: SH2405 contract surface hit a new low, night trading low open concussion downward, morning futures prices fluctuated near the 2592 line, afternoon prices fluctuated downwards, increasing positions are more obvious, especially late trading prices hit a new low of 2561. Today's trading situation: 18.9% more than open 24.5%; empty 18.7% more than 18.4%.
Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's caustic soda index fell by 2.1% to 2993.37, down 64.22%, while China's caustic soda index fell.
Caustic soda late forecast: futures: the daily volume of caustic soda SH2405 contract soared by 23082 hands, the market position once increased to more than 100000 hands, and the futures price hit a new low today; short opening of 24.5% compared with 18.9% more, the short sentiment is obviously heavier; the Mandarin Commodity Index is down, and the commodity sentiment is weak. The technical level shows that the opening of the three tracks of the Bollinger belt (13, 13, 2) continues downward, the KD line and MACD line at the daily level still show dead forks, and the trend of dead forks has increased, and there may still be downward pressure on short-term prices. Spot: after an alumina factory in Shandong announced a reduction in the purchase price of liquid alkali yesterday, the price in Shandong area fell in an all-round way today. The supply front maintenance equipment is expected to resume, at the same time, there are still planned maintenance devices, the supply side as a whole or showing regional changes, the overall supply fabric is still relatively sufficient; the demand side downstream demand overall maintain rigid demand procurement-based, basically negative in the face of the market. In terms of market mentality, most operators are lack of confidence in the future and are bearish on the spot market for caustic soda. As a whole, it is expected that short-term caustic soda prices will continue to operate under pressure.
Market price of liquid chlorine:
Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Area |
October sixteenth |
October seventeenth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
Northeast China |
200-400 |
200-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Shandong province |
200-400 |
200-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Zhejiang Province |
500-600 |
500-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
East China region |
100-150 |
100-150 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Southwest China |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Central China |
200-300 |
300-400 |
100/100 |
Tank car quotation |
Inner Mongolia |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Anhui province |
150-200 |
100-200 |
-50/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Hebei Province |
300-400 |
300-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Liquid chlorine index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index rose 8.33%, or 2.31%, to 368.89 on October 17, while China's liquid chlorine index rose.
Caustic soda holding the list: