Caustic soda: Futures show a negative cross star, with relatively obvious open positions, and spot prices adjust sporadically

Caustic soda futures analysis:    October 13 SH2405 contract opening price: 2752, highest price: 2765, lowest price: 2666, spread: 99, position: 70131, increase: 6740, settlement price: 2703, yesterday settlement: 2707, down: 4, closing price: 2682, daily trading volume: 232766 hands, precipitated capital: 1.354 billion, capital inflow: 99.57 million.

Market price of caustic soda:

Caustic soda spot analysis:       today, the overall trend of China's caustic soda market is stable and small, individual regional market transaction prices are adjusted sporadically, the vast majority of regional market performance is more cautious, the market fundamentals have not changed significantly, the wait-and-see mood of operators is increased near the end of the week, more wait-and-see market-based, price adjustment mentality is more cautious. Today, the trading situation in various regions of the liquid alkali market has almost maintained yesterday's level, and the price fluctuation is not obvious. The price of high concentration alkali in some areas has dropped slightly. From the point of view of the price adjustment in various regions, 50% of the ion membrane alkali in some areas has dropped 10 yuan / ton. The prices of other concentrations of alkali have remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. The situation of high concentration alkali orders in individual areas is not good, the transaction is not ideal, the price is slightly reduced to promote shipments, the supply and demand in other regions is relatively stable, the supply side is stable and sufficient, the downstream demand is lukewarm, and the overall market trend is not clear. although there are some differences in supply and demand between regions, the market in the region is relatively stable, most of the regional operators wait and see the market, and the operation of entering the market is more cautious. Individual manufacturers of upstream production enterprises have lowered their ex-factory quotations, but most enterprises have not adjusted their ex-factory quotations, and the mentality of price adjustment is more cautious. Today, the transaction situation of the tablet alkali market is relatively flexible, the downstream demand situation is lukewarm, the delivery rhythm of traders is general, there is no obvious change in the transaction price range of various regional markets, and the enthusiasm of operators to enter the market is general. The market trend mostly maintains yesterday's level, and the wait-and-see mood of the operators is heavier.

Caustic soda futures analysis:   SH2405 contract all-day downward trend is more obvious. Night trading opened slightly up to today's high 2765 and then began the downward road; in the morning overall showed an inverted "N" trend, afternoon prices rebounded slightly but the overall is not obvious. Today's turnover: 17.1% more, 20.6% empty; 18.6% more than 19.9%.

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, China's caustic soda index was 3059.75 on October 13, falling by 0%, and China's caustic soda index was stable.

Prediction of the later stage of caustic soda:     Futures: SH2405 contracts showed a downward trend again, increasing positions more than 10,000 hands in the morning, reducing positions in the afternoon, especially in late afternoon trading, closing 20.6% versus opening 17.1% more to form absolute suppression, technical level daily line KD line trend narrowed, MACD still showed an obvious dead fork trend, in the short term, the operation of futures prices may show a low continuous confirmation trend. Spot: on the supply side, the current time node is in mid-October, and some devices will enter the maintenance period, when the supply will be reduced regionally, which will be good support for the market. The devices originally planned to be reopened by individual enterprises in the northwest region will be delayed again, and the supply on the market as a whole will be reduced. The demand change downstream of the demand side is not expected to be large, or mainly to maintain rigid demand procurement, the enthusiasm of receiving goods downstream in some areas is poor, enterprise inventory has increased, and there are negative factors in the market in this region. In addition, in terms of policy, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment organized to draft a draft for soliciting opinions on the comprehensive treatment of air pollution in autumn and winter from 2023 to 2024 in some areas, including Beijing, Tianjin, Hebei and its surrounding areas, Fen-Wei Plain and other areas, including Shandong, the main producing area of caustic soda, enterprises may face production restrictions and production suspension. On the whole, it is expected that the trend of the short-term caustic soda market may be different, and the price may be mixed.

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, on October 13, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 360.56, up 0%, and China's liquid chlorine index was stable.

Caustic soda holding the list: