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The inventory of soda ash manufacturers has increased, and the market price has stabilized slightly (9.28 Weekly Review of soda ash)

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September 28, 2023, 5:19 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, prices in some regions of China's soda ash market have been adjusted within a narrow range. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 3,000 - 3,350 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 3,300 - 3,500 yuan/ton; this week, Henan Zhongyuan and Qinghai Kunlun equipment production load dropped, and manufacturers temporarily stopped, but production of early maintenance companies resumed, and market supply increased slightly; Due to the increase in light soda stocks of individual manufacturers and the impact of market transportation, companies have received preferential deals and the focus of transactions has shifted downward. Manufacturers 'heavy soda stocks are still tight, and market quotations remain firm; downstream market demand has temporarily stabilized, but with the start of the soda ash market, companies are also more cautious in purchasing, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude.

 

Forecast for next week: As maintenance companies resume production, the operating rate of the soda ash market will increase again; downstream market demand remains basically stable, but market procurement is more cautious, and part of their own raw material inventory is still consumed, so companies are mainly waiting and seeing; However, as soda ash stocks continue to increase, some market participants in the market are more bearish in the later period. It is expected that some prices of soda ash may weaken, and the overall market will remain stable in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

September 21

September 28

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

3300

3300

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3375

3375

0

0.00%

in North China

light soda ash

3150

3150

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3375

3375

0

0.00%

East China

light soda ash

3300

3225

-75

-2.27%

heavy sodium carbonate

3300

3300

0

0.00%

central China

light soda ash

3150

3075

-75

-2.38%

heavy sodium carbonate

3225

3225

0

0.00%

South China

light soda ash

3650

3650

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3675

3675

0

0.00%

southwestern region

light soda ash

3350

3350

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3500

3500

0

0.00%

northwestern region

light soda ash

2900

2900

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3050

3050

0

0.00%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of September 28 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1899 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1460 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton from the previous week.

 

production process

September 21

September 28

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1898

1899

1

0.05%

ammonia-soda process

1475

1460

-15

-1.02%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 86%, a month-on-month increase of 4%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 668,000 tons.

List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on September 28, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Huainan Debang

60

On August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance, and the recovery time was to be determined.

chlor-alkali process

Qinghai kunlun

150

The company will be overhauled for three days starting from September 25

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 223,000 tons, compared with 170,000 tons last week, a month-on-month increase of 53,000 tons, or 31.18%.