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Market starts to increase, and soda ash prices are stable (9.14 Weekly Review of soda ash)

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September 15, 2023, 5:32 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash market has basically stabilized. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 3,000 - 3,400 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 3,200 - 3,500 yuan/ton. The supply of soda ash in the market is still tight, and the market price is running at a high level; Some manufacturers temporarily stopped this week, but production in the early period of maintenance basically returned to normal. Coupled with the increase in the output of new production lines, the market supply has increased in a narrow range; Manufacturers 'inventories are low, market supply and marketing are basically balanced, and companies schedule orders and deliver goods. Currently, some companies in the market are still not receiving orders temporarily. Demand in the downstream market remains stable, but due to the influence of futures prices, the market purchasing sentiment has become cautious, and purchasing on demand is mainly based, and the soda ash market continues to operate steadily.

 

Forecast for next week: With the end of maintenance companies, market starts will gradually increase; market demand is stable, but due to the impact of low manufacturers 'inventories, new orders shipments are still tight. With the increase of new downstream float glass production lines, soda ash supply and demand will be in a tight balance in the short term, and prices will remain high.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

a 9 - 7

September 14

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

3300

3300

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3375

3375

0

0.00%

in North China

light soda ash

3150

3150

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3375

3375

0

0.00%

East China

light soda ash

3150

3275

125

3.97%

heavy sodium carbonate

3250

3300

50

1.54%

central China

light soda ash

3100

3150

50

1.61%

heavy sodium carbonate

3225

3225

0

0.00%

South China

light soda ash

3275

3650

375

11.45%

heavy sodium carbonate

3475

3675

200

5.76%

southwestern region

light soda ash

3350

3350

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3500

3500

0

0.00%

northwestern region

light soda ash

3125

3125

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3150

3150

0

0.00%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of September 14 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1949 yuan/ton, up 9 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1490 yuan/ton, down 6 yuan/ton from the previous week.

 

production process

a 9 - 7

September 14

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1940

1949

9

0.46%

ammonia-soda process

1496

1490

-6

-0.40%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 82%, an increase of 3% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 610,000 tons.

List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on September 14, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Jiangsu huachang

70

Enterprise maintenance starts from August 28 to 16

Huainan Debang

60

August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance

Henan Junhua

60

September 11, the company will stop for maintenance for three days

chlor-alkali process

Qinghai Fantou

140

Enterprises will be overhauled from September 7 to 12

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 136,000 tons, compared with 128,000 tons last week, a month-on-month increase of 8,000 tons, or 6.25%.