1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, China's soda ash market continued its slight upward trend. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 3,000 - 3,350 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 3,100 - 3,500 yuan/ton. In the early stage, some planned maintenance companies stopped at the beginning of the month, and some companies resumed driving, and the starting load this week still dropped slightly; The transaction atmosphere in the soda ash market remains strong, and orders from manufacturers continue to increase. Most companies place orders until the end of the month, and some companies place orders until the beginning of next month. Manufacturers control the receipt of orders. At present, the inventory of soda ash manufacturers is still low, company quotations remain firm, and spot supply is tight; Downstream manufacturers have not much raw material inventory, and market procurement is relatively active. This week, the focus of transactions in the soda ash market is steady and upward.
Forecast for next week: There will be fewer maintenance companies in the short term, and the start-up load of the soda ash market may increase; companies have more orders to issue, and spot supply will remain tight. Prices in some regions may be adjusted in the later period. Some companies also have intentions to stabilize prices. It is expected that the soda ash market price will continue to remain high in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
August 31 |
a 9 - 7 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
3175 |
3300 |
125 |
3.94% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3275 |
3375 |
100 |
3.05% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
3050 |
3150 |
100 |
3.28% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3250 |
3375 |
125 |
3.85% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
3125 |
3150 |
25 |
0.80% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3200 |
3250 |
50 |
1.56% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
3100 |
3100 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3200 |
3225 |
25 |
0.78% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
3275 |
3275 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3475 |
3475 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
3250 |
3350 |
100 |
3.08% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
3400 |
3500 |
100 |
2.94% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
3125 |
3125 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2900 |
3150 |
250 |
8.62% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of September 7 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1940 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan/ton from last week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1496 yuan/ton, up 161 yuan/ton from last week.
production process |
August 31 |
a 9 - 7 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
1932 |
1940 |
8 |
0.41% |
ammonia-soda process |
1335 |
1496 |
161 |
12.06% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 79%, down 2% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 550,000 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on September 7, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
The enterprise's equipment starts at about 80% of its equipment, and the enterprise will be overhauled from 1 to 5 days. |
|
Zhongyan Red Sifang |
55 |
The company's equipment maintenance will start on August 29 and end on the 3rd |
|
Jiangsu huachang |
70 |
Starting from August 28, the company will be overhauled for half a month |
|
Chongqing Xiangyu |
80 |
Enterprise maintenance from September 3 to September 6 |
|
Huainan Debang |
60 |
August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Zhongyan Kunlun |
150 |
The company will stop for maintenance of equipment from August 23 and resume this week |
Zhongyan Qinghai |
150 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 50% |
|
Jiangxi Jinghao |
60 |
The company will stop for maintenance of equipment from August 20 and end on September 2 |
|
Nanfang Jianye |
60 |
Maintenance from September 1 to September 3 |
|
Qinghai Colorful |
110 |
Maintenance from September 1 to September 6 |
|
Qinghai Fantou |
140 |
The company will be overhauled for three days starting from September 7 |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 128,000 tons, compared with 140,500 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 12,500 tons, or 8.90%.