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The soda ash market continues its upward trend, and the market transaction atmosphere is still good (9.7 soda ash weekly review)

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September 8, 2023, 4:48 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash market continued its slight upward trend. As of now, the price of light soda ash in China is between 3,000 - 3,350 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is between 3,100 - 3,500 yuan/ton. In the early stage, some planned maintenance companies stopped at the beginning of the month, and some companies resumed driving, and the starting load this week still dropped slightly; The transaction atmosphere in the soda ash market remains strong, and orders from manufacturers continue to increase. Most companies place orders until the end of the month, and some companies place orders until the beginning of next month. Manufacturers control the receipt of orders. At present, the inventory of soda ash manufacturers is still low, company quotations remain firm, and spot supply is tight; Downstream manufacturers have not much raw material inventory, and market procurement is relatively active. This week, the focus of transactions in the soda ash market is steady and upward.

 

Forecast for next week: There will be fewer maintenance companies in the short term, and the start-up load of the soda ash market may increase; companies have more orders to issue, and spot supply will remain tight. Prices in some regions may be adjusted in the later period. Some companies also have intentions to stabilize prices. It is expected that the soda ash market price will continue to remain high in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

August 31

a 9 - 7

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

3175

3300

125

3.94%

heavy sodium carbonate

3275

3375

100

3.05%

in North China

light soda ash

3050

3150

100

3.28%

heavy sodium carbonate

3250

3375

125

3.85%

East China

light soda ash

3125

3150

25

0.80%

heavy sodium carbonate

3200

3250

50

1.56%

central China

light soda ash

3100

3100

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3200

3225

25

0.78%

South China

light soda ash

3275

3275

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

3475

3475

0

0.00%

southwestern region

light soda ash

3250

3350

100

3.08%

heavy sodium carbonate

3400

3500

100

2.94%

northwestern region

light soda ash

3125

3125

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2900

3150

250

8.62%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of September 7 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 1940 yuan/ton, up 8 yuan/ton from last week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 1496 yuan/ton, up 161 yuan/ton from last week.

 

production process

August 31

a 9 - 7

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1932

1940

8

0.41%

ammonia-soda process

1335

1496

161

12.06%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 79%, down 2% from last week. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 550,000 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on September 7, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

The enterprise's equipment starts at about 80% of its equipment, and the enterprise will be overhauled from 1 to 5 days.

Zhongyan Red Sifang

55

The company's equipment maintenance will start on August 29 and end on the 3rd

Jiangsu huachang

70

Starting from August 28, the company will be overhauled for half a month

Chongqing Xiangyu

80

Enterprise maintenance from September 3 to September 6

Huainan Debang

60

August 17, the company's equipment was stopped for maintenance

chlor-alkali process

Zhongyan Kunlun

150

The company will stop for maintenance of equipment from August 23 and resume this week

Zhongyan Qinghai

150

Enterprise installation starts at around 50%

Jiangxi Jinghao

60

The company will stop for maintenance of equipment from August 20 and end on September 2

Nanfang Jianye

60

Maintenance from September 1 to September 3

Qinghai Colorful

110

Maintenance from September 1 to September 6

Qinghai Fantou

140

The company will be overhauled for three days starting from September 7

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 128,000 tons, compared with 140,500 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 12,500 tons, or 8.90%.