Spot analysis of caustic soda: China's caustic soda market as a whole showed a rising trend today and got off to a good start at the beginning of the week. Manufacturers in some areas raised their quotations over the weekend, driving up prices in the local market and surrounding areas, with little change in the overall supply and demand side of the market, a small number of devices under maintenance, little change in downstream demand, some operators still hold a wait-and-see mentality, and the local price has not been significantly adjusted. Today, the liquid alkali market is mainly rising regionally, and the market transaction is flexible. From the price adjustment of each regional market, 32% of the ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 20-200 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-80 yuan / ton, 49% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-30 yuan / ton, 48% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-30 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. There is a phenomenon of load reduction in local devices, supply reduction supports the local market, and prices rise mainly, and some surrounding areas are affected by this, and prices also rise; individual high concentration alkali prices rise, enterprise inventory pressure is not great, and the performance of enterprise shipments is better than that in the previous period, and the market is supported by this, and the market transaction price center of gravity is mainly moved up. The purchase price of liquid alkali of alumina in Guangxi region rose sharply in September, which pulled up the price of local liquid alkali. The market trend in other areas is relatively stable, the supply and demand side has not changed much, the operators wait and see the market mainly, and the price does not fluctuate obviously. Upstream part of the production enterprises raised factory quotations, the increase varies, some manufacturers continue to stabilize prices wait and see. Today, the tablet alkali market also shows an upward trend. at the beginning of the week, local manufacturers' quotations were raised by 50-100 yuan / ton, the prices of manufacturers in most areas were firm, the price center of market transaction moved up, and some areas were affected by the rise of local liquid alkali prices. drive the price center of gravity of the tablet alkali market to move up, the delivery performance of local enterprises is OK, and the market transaction is more flexible. At the beginning of the week, there are still some regional markets waiting for the announcement of quotations from manufacturers in the northwest region, and it is mainly to wait and see for the time being to stabilize prices.
Market price of caustic soda:
Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton) |
|||||
Specifications |
Market |
September first |
September fourth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
32% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
905-1200 |
905-1200 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Northwest |
704-736 |
704-736 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
North China |
750-910 |
750-910 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Hebei |
770-810 |
790-810 |
20/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
South China |
960-1150 |
940-1100 |
0/0 |
Can price |
|
Shandong |
750-820 |
750-820 |
0/0 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Zhejiang |
1050-1110 |
1050-1110 |
0/0 |
- |
|
Jiangsu Province |
830-880 |
830-880 |
0/0 |
Delivery price |
|
Tianjin |
2500-2620 |
2500-2620 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Anhui Province |
870-900 |
870-900 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Henan |
2600-2850 |
2700-3050 |
100/200 |
A discount of 100% |
|
50% ionic membrane alkali |
North China |
1260-1850 |
1320-1850 |
60/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Hebei |
1350-1850 |
1360-1850 |
10/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
Shandong |
1260-1320 |
1320-1400 |
60/80 |
Current exchange rate |
|
Tianjin |
2600-2780 |
2600-2780 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
Southwest |
3300-3400 |
3300-3400 |
0/0 |
A discount of 100% |
|
99% tablet alkali |
Northwest |
3000-3300 |
3000-3300 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
Shandong |
3350-3400 |
3350-3400 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
|
45% ionic membrane alkali |
Northeast China |
1680-1750 |
1680-1750 |
0/0 |
Ex-factory price |
49% ionic membrane alkali |
Jiangsu Province |
1280-1350 |
1310-1360 |
30/10 |
Ex-factory price |
30% ionic membrane alkali |
Southwest |
970-990 |
970-990 |
0/0 |
- |
48% ionic membrane alkali |
Henan |
3000-3150 |
3100-3350 |
100/200 |
A discount of 100% |
Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2568.37 on September 4, up 20.09%, or 0.788%. China's caustic soda index rose.
Forecast in the later stage of caustic soda: caustic soda market supply side currently only a few units are under maintenance, the previous maintenance equipment basically recovered in mid-September, and Zhonggu and Wuhai Chemical Industry are expected to restore, Shaanxi Jintai 600000 tons capacity storage and production plan, the market supply side as a whole will increase, the supply is sufficient and stable. The current time node of the demand side is in September. With the arrival of Jinjiu, the downstream purchasing demand is expected to recover to a certain extent. Most businesses pay more attention to Jinjiu Silver Ten, but the overall performance of the demand side is poor this year. At present, the demand side has not seen a substantial improvement, and there is no significant increase in market transactions. At present, in September, the recovery of demand side is still expected. However, it remains to be seen whether the recovery can reach the expected level. It is expected that there is still room for the short-term caustic soda market to rise, and the price may show a regional upward trend.
Market price of liquid chlorine:
Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton) |
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Area |
September first |
September fourth |
Rise and fall |
Remarks |
Northeast China |
200-500 |
100-400 |
-100/-100 |
Tank car quotation |
Shandong province |
300-550 |
200-350 |
-100/-200 |
Tank car quotation |
Zhejiang Province |
500-600 |
500-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
East China region |
100-200 |
50-200 |
-50/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Southwest China |
400-600 |
400-600 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Central China |
100-350 |
100-350 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Inner Mongolia |
-300-100 |
-300-100 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Anhui province |
200-400 |
200-400 |
0/0 |
Tank car quotation |
Hebei Province |
200-500 |
100-400 |
-100/-100 |
Tank car quotation |
Liquid chlorine index analysis: according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 294.44, down 44.44, or 13.11%, and China's liquid chlorine index fell.