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Caustic soda: High-concentration prices rose in most regions, and alumina purchase prices in Guangxi were increased by 400% in September

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September 4, 2023, 3:00 PM


Spot analysis of caustic soda:      China's caustic soda market as a whole showed a rising trend today and got off to a good start at the beginning of the week. Manufacturers in some areas raised their quotations over the weekend, driving up prices in the local market and surrounding areas, with little change in the overall supply and demand side of the market, a small number of devices under maintenance, little change in downstream demand, some operators still hold a wait-and-see mentality, and the local price has not been significantly adjusted. Today, the liquid alkali market is mainly rising regionally, and the market transaction is flexible. From the price adjustment of each regional market, 32% of the ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 20-200 yuan / ton, 50% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-80 yuan / ton, 49% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-30 yuan / ton, 48% ion-exchange membrane alkali rose 10-30 yuan / ton, and the prices of other concentrations of alkali remained stable, and the price range has not been significantly adjusted. There is a phenomenon of load reduction in local devices, supply reduction supports the local market, and prices rise mainly, and some surrounding areas are affected by this, and prices also rise; individual high concentration alkali prices rise, enterprise inventory pressure is not great, and the performance of enterprise shipments is better than that in the previous period, and the market is supported by this, and the market transaction price center of gravity is mainly moved up. The purchase price of liquid alkali of alumina in Guangxi region rose sharply in September, which pulled up the price of local liquid alkali. The market trend in other areas is relatively stable, the supply and demand side has not changed much, the operators wait and see the market mainly, and the price does not fluctuate obviously. Upstream part of the production enterprises raised factory quotations, the increase varies, some manufacturers continue to stabilize prices wait and see. Today, the tablet alkali market also shows an upward trend. at the beginning of the week, local manufacturers' quotations were raised by 50-100 yuan / ton, the prices of manufacturers in most areas were firm, the price center of market transaction moved up, and some areas were affected by the rise of local liquid alkali prices. drive the price center of gravity of the tablet alkali market to move up, the delivery performance of local enterprises is OK, and the market transaction is more flexible. At the beginning of the week, there are still some regional markets waiting for the announcement of quotations from manufacturers in the northwest region, and it is mainly to wait and see for the time being to stabilize prices.

 

Market price of caustic soda:

Summary of market price of caustic soda (unit: yuan / ton)

Specifications

Market

September first

September fourth

Rise and fall

Remarks

32% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

905-1200

905-1200

0/0

Ex-factory price

Northwest

704-736

704-736

0/0

Ex-factory price

North China

750-910

750-910

0/0

-

Hebei

770-810

790-810

20/0

Ex-factory price

South China

960-1150

940-1100

0/0

Can price

Shandong

750-820

750-820

0/0

Current exchange rate

Zhejiang

1050-1110

1050-1110

0/0

-

Jiangsu Province

830-880

830-880

0/0

Delivery price

Tianjin

2500-2620

2500-2620

0/0

A discount of 100%

Anhui Province

870-900

870-900

0/0

Ex-factory price

Henan

2600-2850

2700-3050

100/200

A discount of 100%

50% ionic membrane alkali

North China

1260-1850

1320-1850

60/0

Ex-factory price

Hebei

1350-1850

1360-1850

10/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

1260-1320

1320-1400

60/80

Current exchange rate

Tianjin

2600-2780

2600-2780

0/0

A discount of 100%

Southwest

3300-3400

3300-3400

0/0

A discount of 100%

99% tablet alkali

Northwest

3000-3300

3000-3300

0/0

Ex-factory price

Shandong

3350-3400

3350-3400

0/0

Ex-factory price

45% ionic membrane alkali

Northeast China

1680-1750

1680-1750

0/0

Ex-factory price

49% ionic membrane alkali

Jiangsu Province

1280-1350

1310-1360

30/10

Ex-factory price

30% ionic membrane alkali

Southwest

970-990

970-990

0/0

-

48% ionic membrane alkali

Henan

3000-3150

3100-3350

100/200

A discount of 100%

 

Caustic soda index analysis: according to Tdd-global data, China's caustic soda index rose to 2568.37 on September 4, up 20.09%, or 0.788%. China's caustic soda index rose.

 

 

Forecast in the later stage of caustic soda:     caustic soda market supply side currently only a few units are under maintenance, the previous maintenance equipment basically recovered in mid-September, and Zhonggu and Wuhai Chemical Industry are expected to restore, Shaanxi Jintai 600000 tons capacity storage and production plan, the market supply side as a whole will increase, the supply is sufficient and stable. The current time node of the demand side is in September. With the arrival of Jinjiu, the downstream purchasing demand is expected to recover to a certain extent. Most businesses pay more attention to Jinjiu Silver Ten, but the overall performance of the demand side is poor this year. At present, the demand side has not seen a substantial improvement, and there is no significant increase in market transactions. At present, in September, the recovery of demand side is still expected. However, it remains to be seen whether the recovery can reach the expected level. It is expected that there is still room for the short-term caustic soda market to rise, and the price may show a regional upward trend.

 

Market price of liquid chlorine:

Summary of market price (unit: yuan / ton)

Area

September first

September fourth

Rise and fall

Remarks

Northeast China

200-500

100-400

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

Shandong province

300-550

200-350

-100/-200

Tank car quotation

Zhejiang Province

500-600

500-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

East China region

100-200

50-200

-50/0

Tank car quotation

Southwest China

400-600

400-600

0/0

Tank car quotation

Central China

100-350

100-350

0/0

Tank car quotation

Inner Mongolia

-300-100

-300-100

0/0

Tank car quotation

Anhui province

200-400

200-400

0/0

Tank car quotation

Hebei Province

200-500

100-400

-100/-100

Tank car quotation

 

Liquid chlorine index analysis:    according to Tuduoduo data, China's liquid chlorine spot index was 294.44, down 44.44, or 13.11%, and China's liquid chlorine index fell.