1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, the price of new orders in China's soda ash market continues to increase. As of now, the ex-factory price of China's mainstream light soda is 2,000 - 2,250 yuan/ton, and the price of mainstream heavy soda delivered to the terminal is 2,200 - 2,400 yuan/ton. Recently, the transaction atmosphere in the soda ash market has been relatively good. Some preliminary maintenance companies have resumed construction, and the market's starting load has increased slightly; soda ash companies have many orders in hand. Some manufacturers have received orders until the end of the month. Companies have arranged orders and delivered goods. Manufacturers 'inventories have continued to decline. The supply of spot goods in the market is tight, and the price of new orders in the market has increased slightly; the downstream market still maintains a just need to purchase. As new market production capacity approaches, companies are also more cautious in purchasing, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude.
Forecast for next week: At present, some enterprises in the market are still under-operating equipment, soda ash companies have sufficient orders, and manufacturers 'inventories remain low; downstream market demand has not changed much, and soda ash will be used as it is purchased; due to the low inventory of soda ash manufacturers, most companies Control orders and temporarily seal orders. The tight market supply situation continues, and the soda ash market will maintain good operation in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
August 3 |
August 10 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2300 |
2300 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2300 |
2350 |
50 |
2.17% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2150 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2250 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2125 |
2150 |
25 |
1.18% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2275 |
25 |
1.11% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2050 |
2275 |
225 |
10.98% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2250 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2225 |
2300 |
75 |
3.37% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2325 |
2350 |
25 |
1.08% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2175 |
2200 |
25 |
1.15% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2225 |
2250 |
25 |
1.12% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
2000 |
2000 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
1975 |
1975 |
0 |
0.00% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of August 10 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 988 yuan/ton, up 98.5 yuan/ton month-on-month; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 480 yuan/ton, down 35.3 yuan/ton month-on-month.
production process |
August 3 |
August 10 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
889.5 |
988 |
98.5 |
11.07% |
ammonia-soda process |
515.3 |
480 |
-35.3 |
-6.85% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 79%, an increase of 2% from last week. Among them, ammonia soda manufacturers started at an average of 76%, combined soda manufacturers started at an average of 81%, and natural soda plants started at an average of 77%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 548,000 tons.
List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on August 10, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Jinshan, Henan |
390 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 90% |
|
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
Enterprise installations started at around 80% |
|
Sichuan hebang |
30 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 70% |
|
Henan Junhua |
80 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 60% |
|
Gansu Jinchang |
60 |
Starting from July 15, the company will be overhauled for one month |
|
Zhongyan Kunshan |
80 |
Starting from July 31, the company's equipment maintenance will take about one month |
|
Tianjin soda plant |
80 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 50% |
|
Zhongyan Red Sifang |
55 |
Enterprise installations started at around 80% |
|
Hubei shuanghuan |
120 |
The current operating load is about 80% |
|
chlor-alkali process |
salt Lake magnesium industry |
120 |
Enterprise equipment is being parked for maintenance |
Shandong Haitian |
150 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
|
Zhongyan Kunlun |
150 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 60% |
|
Zhongyan Qinghai |
150 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 60% |
|
Nanfang Jianye |
60 |
Enterprise device shutdown for 2-3 days |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 205,000 tons, compared with 240,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 35,000 tons, or 14.58%.