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[Soda ash] Soda ash manufacturers continue to remove new orders and prices continue to rise (8.10 Soda ash Weekly Review)

119,536
August 11, 2023, 5:10 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, the price of new orders in China's soda ash market continues to increase. As of now, the ex-factory price of China's mainstream light soda is 2,000 - 2,250 yuan/ton, and the price of mainstream heavy soda delivered to the terminal is 2,200 - 2,400 yuan/ton. Recently, the transaction atmosphere in the soda ash market has been relatively good. Some preliminary maintenance companies have resumed construction, and the market's starting load has increased slightly; soda ash companies have many orders in hand. Some manufacturers have received orders until the end of the month. Companies have arranged orders and delivered goods. Manufacturers 'inventories have continued to decline. The supply of spot goods in the market is tight, and the price of new orders in the market has increased slightly; the downstream market still maintains a just need to purchase. As new market production capacity approaches, companies are also more cautious in purchasing, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude.

 

Forecast for next week: At present, some enterprises in the market are still under-operating equipment, soda ash companies have sufficient orders, and manufacturers 'inventories remain low; downstream market demand has not changed much, and soda ash will be used as it is purchased; due to the low inventory of soda ash manufacturers, most companies Control orders and temporarily seal orders. The tight market supply situation continues, and the soda ash market will maintain good operation in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

August 3

August 10

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2300

2300

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2300

2350

50

2.17%

in North China

light soda ash

2150

2150

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2250

2250

0

0.00%

East China

light soda ash

2125

2150

25

1.18%

heavy sodium carbonate

2250

2275

25

1.11%

central China

light soda ash

2050

2275

225

10.98%

heavy sodium carbonate

2250

2250

0

0.00%

South China

light soda ash

2225

2300

75

3.37%

heavy sodium carbonate

2325

2350

25

1.08%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2175

2200

25

1.15%

heavy sodium carbonate

2225

2250

25

1.12%

northwestern region

light soda ash

2000

2000

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

1975

1975

0

0.00%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of August 10 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 988 yuan/ton, up 98.5 yuan/ton month-on-month; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 480 yuan/ton, down 35.3 yuan/ton month-on-month.

production process

August 3

August 10

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

889.5

988

98.5

11.07%

ammonia-soda process

515.3

480

-35.3

-6.85%

  

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 79%, an increase of 2% from last week. Among them, ammonia soda manufacturers started at an average of 76%, combined soda manufacturers started at an average of 81%, and natural soda plants started at an average of 77%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 548,000 tons.

List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on August 10, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Jinshan, Henan

390

Enterprise installation starts at around 90%

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

Enterprise installations started at around 80%

Sichuan hebang

30

Enterprise installation starts at around 70%

Henan Junhua

80

Enterprise installation starts at around 60%

Gansu Jinchang

60

Starting from July 15, the company will be overhauled for one month

Zhongyan Kunshan

80

Starting from July 31, the company's equipment maintenance will take about one month

Tianjin soda plant

80

Enterprise installation starts at around 50%

Zhongyan Red Sifang

55

Enterprise installations started at around 80%

Hubei shuanghuan

120

The current operating load is about 80%

chlor-alkali process

salt Lake magnesium industry

120

Enterprise equipment is being parked for maintenance

Shandong Haitian

150

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

Zhongyan Kunlun

150

Enterprise installation starts at around 60%

Zhongyan Qinghai

150

Enterprise installation starts at around 60%

Nanfang Jianye

60

Enterprise device shutdown for 2-3 days

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 205,000 tons, compared with 240,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 35,000 tons, or 14.58%.