1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, the market price of soda ash in China continues to rise. As of now, the mainstream ex-factory price of light soda in China is between 1,950 - 2,150 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of heavy soda delivered to the terminal is between 2,200 - 2,300 yuan/ton. Due to the continuous maintenance of equipment by some soda ash manufacturers, the market starts to decline again, manufacturers 'supply continues to be tight, and manufacturers' inventories remain at a low level; At present, soda ash companies have sufficient orders to issue, and manufacturers mainly deliver early orders. Some manufacturers schedule orders until the beginning of next month, and companies control that they will not quote for the time being. The downstream market demand is stable, the demand for light soda is still average, and the demand for heavy soda has increased. Enterprises maintain just need to purchase. Due to tight market supply, the price of new orders in the soda ash market has increased to 50-100 yuan/ton, and the market transaction atmosphere is good.
Forecast for next week: soda ash manufacturers have more orders. Next week, companies such as Southern Soda Industry will restock equipment maintenance plans. Early maintenance companies will resume construction one after another, and market starts may increase; overall market demand remains stable, soda ash manufacturers 'inventories are low, and market purchases remain in demand. The soda ash market may operate steadily in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
on July 27 |
August 3 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2300 |
150 |
6.98% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2300 |
2300 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2025 |
2150 |
125 |
6.17% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2250 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2100 |
2125 |
25 |
1.19% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2250 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2000 |
2050 |
50 |
2.50% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2225 |
2250 |
25 |
1.12% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2225 |
75 |
3.49% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2300 |
2325 |
25 |
1.09% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2175 |
25 |
1.16% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2225 |
2225 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
1900 |
2000 |
100 |
5.26% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
1875 |
1975 |
100 |
5.33% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of August 3 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 889.5 yuan/ton, up 107.5 yuan/ton month-on-month; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 515.3 yuan/ton, up 32.1 yuan/ton month-on-month.
production process |
on July 27 |
August 3 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
782 |
889.5 |
107.5 |
13.75% |
ammonia-soda process |
483.2 |
515.3 |
32.1 |
6.64% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 77%, down 4% month-on-month. Among them, ammonia soda manufacturers started at an average of 78%, joint soda manufacturers started at an average of 79%, and natural soda plants started at an average of 80%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 520,000 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on August 3, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Jinshan, Henan |
390 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 90% |
|
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
Enterprise device is currently being restored |
|
Sichuan hebang |
30 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 70% |
|
Henan Junhua |
80 |
Enterprise installations started at around 80% |
|
Gansu Jinchang |
60 |
Starting from July 15, the company will be overhauled for one month |
|
Zhongyan Kunshan |
80 |
Starting from July 31, the company's equipment maintenance will take about one month |
|
Tianjin soda plant |
80 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 50% |
|
chlor-alkali process |
salt Lake magnesium industry |
120 |
Enterprise equipment is being parked for maintenance |
Shandong Haitian |
150 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
|
Zhongyan Kunshan |
150 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 60% |
|
Zhongyan Qinghai |
150 |
Enterprise installation starts at around 60% |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 240,000 tons, compared with 250,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 10,000 tons or 4.00%.