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Polyester industry chain: lack of cost support for weak adjustment of polyester market

115,906
July 18, 2023, 4:24 PM

I. the market trend chart of polyester industry chain

On July 18, the market price index of ethylene glycol was 4053.18, up 33.08 from the previous working day.

 

On July 18th, China's PTA market price index was 5830, down 20% from the previous working day.

On July 18, the market price index of polyester chips was 6825, down 25 from the previous working day. The market price index of polyester bottle chips was 6925, down 25% from the previous working day.

 

II. Summary of market price of polyester industry chain

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

PTA

Spot

East China

5830

5850

-20

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

Glycol

Polyester grade

East China

4055

4025

+30

Self-withdrawing tax, yuan / ton

Polyester grade

South China

4200

4150

+50

Short delivery including tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester chip

Semi-light section

East China

6825

6850

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Light slicing

6825

6850

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester bottle chip

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

East China

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

7025

7050

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Aquarius level (IV.=0.8)

South China

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Oil bottle grade

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Hot pot grade

6925

6950

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Carbonic acid grade

7025

7050

-25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester filament

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY150D/48F

East China

7575

7575

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market FDY150D/96F

8175

8175

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market DTY150D/48F

9125

9125

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Jiangsu and Zhejiang market POY75D/72F

7900

7900

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Product

Specifications

Market

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Remarks

Polyester staple yarn

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Jiangsu Province

7275

7250

+25

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

Semi-glossy white 1.56: 38

Zhejiang

7350

7350

0

Factory includes tax, yuan / ton

III. Brief introduction of Polyester Industry chain Market

PTA

Today, the spot market of PTA in East China is weakening in a narrow range, with a reference of 5830 yuan / ton. This week and next week, the main port delivery 09 liters of water 3-10 near the transaction and negotiations, August delivery 09 near Pingshui transactions and negotiations. International crude oil fell, upstream PX prices fell, cost-side pressure, the market center of gravity fell slightly. Suppliers continue to ship, the buying mood is cautious, the spot basis is weak, the overall sporadic transactions. It is expected that the short-term market will be weak adjustment.

Glycol

Today, the market price of ethylene glycol is narrow and strong, the market supply is reduced, and the market offer rises slightly. The quotation in East China revolves around 4055 yuan / ton, up 30 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day. The quotation in South China is around 4200 yuan / ton. Some plants in China are parking and overhauled, the supply continues to shrink, the polyester end maintains a high load, the demand side is rigid and the demand is stable, and the ethylene glycol market is expected to fluctuate in a narrow range in the short term.

Polyester chip

Today's polyester chip market is in a weak position. Raw materials continue to fall to crack down, the center of gravity of the market tends to be low-end, factory discount space is slightly loose. Downstream replenishment mood is not good, the market transaction atmosphere is general. It is expected that the market price of polyester chips will be adjusted narrowly in the short term.

Polyester bottle chip

Today, the market for polyester bottle chips remains weak. Raw material PTA market continues to weaken, lack of cost support, some bottle chip manufacturers offer down 50 yuan / ton, dealer offer tends to low-end; downstream cautious wait-and-see-based, market trading atmosphere in general. It is expected that the short-term lactone bottle chip market may be narrowly arranged.

Polyester filament

Today, the polyester filament market maintains horizontal finishing. Polyester raw material market fell, the cost end support is insufficient, polyester factory quotation is stable, individual adjustment, the market wait-and-see mentality is obvious. Downstream procurement to maintain rigid demand, market trading is scarce. It is expected that the filament market price will maintain the finishing pattern in the short term.

Polyester staple fiber

Today, the market of polyester staple fiber is adjusted in a narrow range. Raw material PTA market remains weak, cost bottom support still exists, some low prices slightly reduced. Market transactions are only rigid demand, enterprise production and marketing is still weak. It is expected that the market price of short-term polyester staple fiber will fluctuate in a narrow range.

IV. Polyester Raw material Futures Market

PTA:7 18 PTA main 2309 contract opening price: 5804, lowest price: 5792, highest price: 5852, closing price: 5824, settlement price: 5828, down 40, position: 1713620.

 

Ethylene glycol: EG main contract 2309 opening price: 4098, lowest price: 4093, highest price: 4138, closing price: 4128, settlement price: 4115, up 16, position: 419696.

V. production and marketing data of polyester market

Product

2023.7.18

2023.7.17

Rise and fall

Unit

Polyester chip

25%

25%

0%

%

Polyester filament

30%

40%

-10%

%

Polyester staple fiber

25%

30%

-5%

%

VI. Future forecast

The international crude oil trend is weakening, the cost end pressure, polyester raw material PTA and ethylene glycol market confidence is insufficient, the short-term market will maintain a weak adjustment, the cost side to support the market. Polyester market is mainly cautious wait-and-see, market offer with the small adjustment of the raw material market, downstream demand weakening, market production and marketing downturn. Short-term polyester market prices are expected to maintain a narrow range of fluctuations. Pay close attention to the changes of raw material market and demand side in the later stage.