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Ethanol: China's ethanol market dynamics on July 17

116,062
July 17, 2023, 4:45 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 6216.00 on July 17th, up from-4.5 on the previous working day.

Henan excellent grade of Chinese ethanol market is weak, others are stable. July 17 hot spots: first, the price of cassava ethanol in East China is stable, and individual enterprise devices are turned on. Second, the installation of the large factory in Jilin in Northeast China is stable, the two enterprises in Heilongjiang have shut down, and the devices of some enterprises in Jilin that have reduced production have returned to full production. Third, the weekend premium price in Henan area has been reduced by 50 yuan / ton, and today individual factories continue to lower the premium price by 50 yuan / ton. 4. The price of ethyl acetate is stable. Fifth, the transaction price of dried cassava in Thailand has increased. Sixth, the price of individual coal-based ethanol has increased.

Specifically, the spot in the northeast region is limited, large factories limited delivery, order delivery, the price is stable, two enterprises in Heilongjiang shut down. Henan Mengzhou enterprises order delivery, the number of vehicles in front of the door decreased, and the premium price was reduced by 50 yuan / ton at the weekend. The price in East China is stable, the equipment in some factories is turned on, and the shipment is general. The individual price of coal-based ethanol increased significantly. There are more vehicles queuing in front of large fuel ethanol factories to pick up goods. The purchase price of some local refineries has risen. Northeast enterprise Jilin market general grade quotation 6400-6450 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 6300-6400 yuan / ton, Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 7050-7100 yuan / ton, and Jilin anhydrous market is 7100-7250 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6600-6650 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China offer 6600-6650 yuan / ton, and the water-free price is 7300-7400 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6650-6700 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 7350-7450 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6750-6800 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol 6700-6800 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2023/7/17

2023/7/14

Rise and fall

 

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7450-7500

7450-7500

0/0

 

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

-

-

-

 

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6700-6800

6700-6800

0/0

 

North China

Superior grade

Hebei

-

-

-

 

No water

Hebei

7150-7200

7150-7200

0/0

 

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

6400-6450

6400-6450

0/0

 

No water

Jilin

7100-7250

7100-7250

0/0

 

General level

Jinzhou

6600-6650

6600-6650

0/0

 

General level

Heilongjiang Province

6300-6400

6300-6400

0/0

 

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6650-6800

6650-6800

0/0

 

No water

Anhui Province

7300-7500

7300-7500

0/0

 

No water

Shandong

 

 

0/0

 

General level

Shandong

6700-6700

6700-6700

    0/0

 

Superior grade

Shandong

6900-6900

6900-6900

0/0

 

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

7350-7400

7350-7400

0/0

 

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6650-6700

6650-6700

0/0

 

No water

Northern Jiangsu

7350-7450

7350-7450

0/0

 

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6750-6800

6750-6800

0/0

 

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6600-6650

6700-6700

-100/-50

 

No water

Henan

7300-7400

7300-7400

0/0

 

Raw materials / by-products and downstream

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2023/7/17

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2600-2750

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2840-2950

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2550-2680

Less transactions at a low price

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2800-2900

High fat

Central China

Henan

Corn

2960-2960

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

3050

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

264-267

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

6300-6360

Acceptance leaves the factory

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6350-6400

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6550-6600

 

Future forecast: short-term price regional trend is expected, some factories in Northeast China are down, fuel production is reduced, fuel prices are strong, follow-up two enterprises have maintenance plans, short-term prices are stable. The demand in Henan area is general, and it is expected to be weak in the short term. General-grade shipments in East China are general, and there is the possibility of individual factories starting in the short term, with a slight increase in supply, but there is no obvious inventory expected price arrangement for large factories at present.

Raw materials: corn ethanol: corn prices fell slightly in the region, the current ddgs prices rose to a high, soybean meal prices are weak, in the short term prices are stable or weak. Cassava dry aspect: enterprise rigid demand procurement, Thailand is willing to raise the price is obvious, cassava dry inventory sales are expected short-term cassava dry price high finishing.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Fuyu Huihai normal, Cofco Zhaodong plant shutdown, Wanli plant shutdown, Hongzhan Raha first phase stop, Bayan production, Hongzhan other equipment normal, Heilongjiang Shenglong production; Fukang device normal, Tianyu normal, Shuntong shutdown, Dongfeng Huafeng downtime, Xintianlong resuming, Linu downtime. East China Flower Hall half-load production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua production, Changxing production, Longhe shutdown, sul shutdown, Fulaichun continued shutdown, Maibo Huihui shutdown, MINUSTAH production. The production of enterprises in Mengzhou, Henan Province is normal. Jufeng production. Chifeng Ruiyang production, Zalantun production.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Buy a small amount of liquor.

Logistics: logistics price is stable.

 

 

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Heilongjiang Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

April fifteenth

Start up on May 6th

Jilin Fukang

50

4

March 28th

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Late March

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Start up in the middle of May

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop feeding at the beginning of April

 

Shuyang Guohua

5

5

Resume around July 10th

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

The material has been put in on April 20th.

 

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Shut down on May 5, start on the 17th, reduce production on the 21st, full production on July 15th.

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Shutdown on April 27th-started on June 5th, with maintenance plan in July

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

One-line production

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Open on May 21

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Stop feeding on April 17th

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

April 12-May 24

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

April 3rd

Fuel fuel

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

All machines were shut down on May 16th and put in materials on June 5th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

Shutdown on May 18th

 

Hongzhang, ha.

60

30

The first phase will be stopped on May 27 until the time is uncertain.

 

Fukang

50

50

The time of maintenance is uncertain.

 

Tianyu

15

15

The maintenance period is 30 days on July 21.

 

Cofco Zhaodong

30

10

Stop feeding on June 5-shutdown on June 20, July 15

 

Chifeng Ruiyang

8

8

Shut down on June 10th and feed on July 4th.

 

Hongzhan Tahiko

30

30

Stop from June 20th to July 5th

 

Wanli Runda

60

60

The machine was shut down on July 15 for 15-20 days

 

Lianyungang Longhe River

10

10

The device stopped feeding on July 3.

 

Jiangsu sul alcohol

12

12

July 3 plant shutdown and feeding

 

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

July 4th production

 

Zalantun

10

10

The product will be released around July 6th.

 

Shandong Yingxuan

20

20

The downtime at the end of June is uncertain.

 

Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.