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The soda ash market is mixed and the supply of some sources in the market is tight (6.29 Weekly Review of soda ash)

112,415
June 30, 2023, 4:48 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, China's soda ash market is mixed. As of now, the mainstream ex-factory price of light soda in China is 1,880 - 2,050 yuan/ton, and the mainstream delivery price of heavy soda to the terminal is 1,980 - 2,200 yuan/ton. This week, some manufacturers started maintenance. At present, the impact on market supply has not changed much. Manufacturers still have some orders in hand. The supply of some market sources is tight, and companies are more willing to stabilize prices; the downstream float glass market is weak, which is a strong price reduction for heavy soda. The sentiment is strong, and the soda ash market is in a game of supply and demand.

 

Forecast for next week: soda ash manufacturers 'inventories will continue to decline, and market quotations will remain firm; next week, there will be maintenance plans in Haihua, Shandong, Jiangsu Jingshen and other areas, and the market will start to decline, and some market supplies may become tight again; downstream market demand will be weak, and there is still resistance to soda ash prices. Enterprises continue to need to purchase, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that the soda ash market will operate steadily in the short term.

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

June 21

June 29

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2150

2150

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2250

2250

0

0.00%

in North China

light soda ash

2025

2050

25

1.23%

heavy sodium carbonate

2115

2100

-15

-0.71%

East China

light soda ash

2025

2075

50

2.47%

heavy sodium carbonate

2100

2075

-25

-1.19%

central China

light soda ash

1925

1925

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2100

2075

-25

-1.19%

South China

light soda ash

2100

2100

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2150

2150

0

0.00%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2050

2050

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2175

2175

0

0.00%

northwestern region

light soda ash

1800

1775

-25

-1.39%

heavy sodium carbonate

1740

1750

10

0.57%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of June 29 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 745 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 487 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous week.

production process

June 21

June 29

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

766

745

-21

-2.74%

ammonia-soda process

486

487

1

0.21%

 

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 90.0%, which was the same as last week. Among them, ammonia and soda manufacturers started at an average of 93%, joint soda manufacturers started at an average of 85%, and natural soda plants started at an average of 95%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 600,000 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on June 29, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Jinshan, Henan

390

Enterprise installations started at 90%

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

Production will be suspended for maintenance starting from June 25

Sichuan hebang

30

The maintenance of Hebang No. 2 Plant will start on June 26, and the estimated time will be one month

chlor-alkali process

Shandong haihua

300

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

salt Lake magnesium industry

120

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 422,500 tons, compared with 431,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 8,500 tons, or 1.97%.