1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, China's soda ash market is mixed. As of now, the mainstream ex-factory price of light soda in China is 1,880 - 2,050 yuan/ton, and the mainstream delivery price of heavy soda to the terminal is 1,980 - 2,200 yuan/ton. This week, some manufacturers started maintenance. At present, the impact on market supply has not changed much. Manufacturers still have some orders in hand. The supply of some market sources is tight, and companies are more willing to stabilize prices; the downstream float glass market is weak, which is a strong price reduction for heavy soda. The sentiment is strong, and the soda ash market is in a game of supply and demand.
Forecast for next week: soda ash manufacturers 'inventories will continue to decline, and market quotations will remain firm; next week, there will be maintenance plans in Haihua, Shandong, Jiangsu Jingshen and other areas, and the market will start to decline, and some market supplies may become tight again; downstream market demand will be weak, and there is still resistance to soda ash prices. Enterprises continue to need to purchase, and the market has a strong wait-and-see attitude. It is expected that the soda ash market will operate steadily in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
June 21 |
June 29 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2150 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
2250 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2025 |
2050 |
25 |
1.23% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2115 |
2100 |
-15 |
-0.71% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2025 |
2075 |
50 |
2.47% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2100 |
2075 |
-25 |
-1.19% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
1925 |
1925 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2100 |
2075 |
-25 |
-1.19% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2100 |
2100 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2150 |
2150 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2050 |
2050 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2175 |
2175 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
1800 |
1775 |
-25 |
-1.39% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
1740 |
1750 |
10 |
0.57% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of June 29 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 745 yuan/ton, down 21 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 487 yuan/ton, up 1 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
June 21 |
June 29 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
766 |
745 |
-21 |
-2.74% |
ammonia-soda process |
486 |
487 |
1 |
0.21% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 90.0%, which was the same as last week. Among them, ammonia and soda manufacturers started at an average of 93%, joint soda manufacturers started at an average of 85%, and natural soda plants started at an average of 95%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 600,000 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on June 29, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Jinshan, Henan |
390 |
Enterprise installations started at 90% |
|
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
Production will be suspended for maintenance starting from June 25 |
|
Sichuan hebang |
30 |
The maintenance of Hebang No. 2 Plant will start on June 26, and the estimated time will be one month |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Shandong haihua |
300 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
salt Lake magnesium industry |
120 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 422,500 tons, compared with 431,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 8,500 tons, or 1.97%.