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Ethanol: China's ethanol market dynamics on June 26

110,690
June 26, 2023, 4:29 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 6005.95 on June 26th, which was stable compared with the previous working day.

The price of ethanol in China fluctuates slightly, the quotations of some factories in East China rise, the low-end price of large factories in Northeast Jilin disappears, the price in Heilongjiang region is not determined before press time, and the price in Henan is stable. June 26 hot spot: first, the price of individual factories in East China has increased by 50 yuan / ton, and there is not much general spot in the market. Second, the price in Henan is stable. Third, the price of a large factory in Northeast Jilin has increased by 100 yuan per ton. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is stable.

Specifically, the northeast Jilin factory maintenance news release, order delivery, quotation increased by 100 yuan / ton. The price in Heilongjiang area is uncertain, the enterprise inventory is not high, and the early order is delivered. Prices in Henan are stable. The price of individual enterprises in East China has risen by 50 yuan / ton, the low-end price of the market has disappeared, and the general spot is more tight. Individual coal-based ethanol is obviously willing to raise its price, and it is sold at a low price. Northeast enterprise Jilin market general grade quotation 6150-6250 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 6000-6100 yuan / ton, Heilongjiang anhydrous market is 6800-6900 yuan / ton, and Jilin anhydrous market is 6950-7100 yuan / ton. The northeast closing position is about 6300 yuan / ton for negotiation. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6370 yuan / ton and the water-free price is 7250 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6400-6450 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 7150-7250 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6550 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol 6700-6800 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2023/6/26

2023/6/25

Rise and fall

 

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7450-7500

7450-7500

0/0

 

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

-

-

-

 

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6700-6800

6700-6800

0/0

 

North China

Superior grade

Hebei

-

-

-

 

No water

Hebei

6900-7150

6900-7150

0/0

 

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

6100-6200

6100-6200

0/0

 

No water

Jilin

6900-7100

6900-7100

0/0

 

General level

Jinzhou

6300-6300

6300-6300

0/0

 

General level

Heilongjiang Province

6000-6100

6000-6100

0/0

 

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6400-6500

6400-6500

0/0

 

No water

Anhui Province

7200-7300

7200-7300

0/0

 

No water

Shandong

 

 

0/0

 

General level

Shandong

6400-6450

6400-6450

   0/0

 

Superior grade

Shandong

6700-6900

6700-6900

0/0

 

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

7250-7350

7250-7350

0/0

 

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6400-6450

6400-6400

0/+50

 

No water

Northern Jiangsu

7150-7250

7150-7250

0/0

 

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6550-6600

6550-6600

0/0

 

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6370-6370

6370-6370

0/0

 

No water

Henan

7250-7250

7250-7250

0/0

 

Raw materials / by-products and downstream

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2023/6/26

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2600-2650

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2600-2650

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2500-2600

Less transactions at a low price

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2550-2630

 

Central China

Henan

Corn

2830-2850

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

2780-2800

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

258-260

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

5900-5920

Acceptance leaves the factory

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6050-6100

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6300-6350

 

Future forecast: it is expected that China's ethanol fluctuates slightly, Jilin large factories have obvious storage, plant maintenance plans support, prices rise and wait for downstream feedback, prices in Heilongjiang are likely to rise. There is no advantage for the current prices in Henan to be sent to Shandong and East China, and there is still room for downward price if this window is opened. Short-term spot in East China is low, and enterprises are about to shut down in the near future. the price rise in Northeast China is supported by price rise, and it is possible for East China to rise.

Raw materials: corn ethanol: corn price sales area price stability, large factory ddgs inventory reduction, soybean meal price rise, as well as enterprise equipment maintenance news release, downstream stock positive price pull up. Dry cassava: the price of ethanol in China is weak, the buying atmosphere is not strong, and the price is sorted out.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning shutdown, Baoquanling shutdown, Fuyu Huihai normal, Cofco Zhaodong fuel plant production and food production, Hongzhan Laha Phase I stop, Bayan stop feeding, Heilongjiang Shenglong production; Fukang first line shutdown, Tianyu normal, Shuntong shutdown, Dongfeng Huafeng downtime, Xintianlong production reduction, Liniu downtime. East China Flower Hall half-load production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin shutdown, Guohua shutdown, Changxing production, Longhe production, sul shutdown, Fulaichun continued shutdown, Maybohui shutdown, MINUSTAH production. The production of enterprises in Mengzhou, Henan Province is normal.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Buy a small amount of liquor.

Logistics: logistics price is stable.

 

 

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Heilongjiang Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

April fifteenth

Start up on May 6th

Jilin Fukang

50

4

March 28th

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Late March

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Start up in the middle of May

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop feeding at the beginning of April

 

Shuyang Guohua

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

The material has been put in on April 20th.

 

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Shut down on May 5, start on the 17th, and reduce production on the 21st.

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Shut down on April 27th-start on June 5th

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

One-line production

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Open on May 21

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Stop feeding on April 17th

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

April 12-May 24

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

April 3rd

Fuel fuel

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

 

 

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

All machines were shut down on May 16th and put in materials on June 5th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

Shutdown on May 18th

 

Hongzhang, ha.

60

30

The first phase will be stopped on May 27 until the time is uncertain.

 

Fukang

50

50

The material will be cut off on July 20 and the whole line will be overhauled for a month.

 

Tianyu

15

15

On July 6, materials are suspended for overhaul for one month.

 

Cofco Zhaodong

30

10

Stop feeding on June 5-June 20

 

Chifeng Ruiyang

8

8

Downtime on June 10th

 

Hongzhan Tahiko

30

30

It is expected to stop feeding for 20 days on June 20.

 

Wanli Runda

60

60

The outage is expected to last 20 days in July.

 

Remarks: all estimated downtime and production capacity are subject to the specific downtime of the factory.