1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
China's soda ash market has rebounded this week, and prices in some regions have risen. As of now, the mainstream ex-factory price of light soda in China this week is 1,850 - 2,050 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of heavy soda delivered to the terminal is 2,000 - 2,200 yuan/ton; This week, China's soda ash market prices are steadily rising. Currently, the overall start-up of manufacturers remains high, and some manufacturers have undergone maintenance; due to the warming of market transaction atmosphere, manufacturers have increased new orders, and some companies have significantly digested their inventories; Due to the drop in soda ash prices to low levels in the early period, corporate profits have been greatly reduced, and market quotations have been firm; the overall downstream demand is still acceptable, and the demand for heavy soda remains positive. However, the float glass market is generally trading, and the sentiment towards the price of soda ash remains unchanged. Companies remain cautious in purchasing, but some soda ash manufacturers are reluctant to sell, and low-priced supplies in the market have decreased, and the soda ash market is operating well.
Forecast for next week: The order receiving situation in the soda ash market has improved significantly this week. There are not many companies in the market that have been overhauled recently. Some companies plan short-term overhauling in the second half of the month. The overall industry starts to remain at around 90%. Manufacturers 'inventories are not high, and companies have a strong mentality of stabilizing prices. However, as new production capacity will be released in the later market, market procurement is also more cautious. It is expected that the soda ash market will mainly stabilize in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
June 1 |
June 8 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2150 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2200 |
2250 |
50 |
2.27% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2050 |
2050 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2050 |
2100 |
50 |
2.44% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
1950 |
2000 |
50 |
2.56% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2100 |
2100 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
1750 |
1850 |
100 |
5.71% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2050 |
2100 |
50 |
2.44% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2100 |
2100 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2150 |
2150 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2050 |
2050 |
0 |
0.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2100 |
2100 |
0 |
0.00% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
1700 |
1750 |
50 |
2.94% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
1750 |
1750 |
0 |
0.00% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of June 8 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 771 yuan/ton, up 171 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 490 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
June 1 |
June 8 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
600 |
771 |
171 |
28.50% |
ammonia-soda process |
483 |
490 |
7 |
1.45% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 89.0%, down 1.0% month-on-month. Among them, ammonia and alkali manufacturers start operating on average 94%, combined alkali manufacturers start operating on average 84%, and natural alkali plants start operating on average 100%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 600,000 tons.
Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on June 8, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
It will be stopped for maintenance on May 6 and is expected to resume at the end of the month |
|
Xiangyu Yanhua |
80 |
It was stopped for maintenance on May 9, and the device is being restored this week |
|
Jiangsu Shilian |
100 |
It will be stopped for maintenance on May 10, and the maintenance is expected to take about 20 days |
|
Gansu Jinchang |
20 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
|
Jinshan, Henan |
390 |
Enterprise installations started at 90% |
|
Hubei shuanghuan |
110 |
Enterprise installations started at 90% |
|
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
Enterprise installations started at 80% |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Shandong haihua |
300 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
salt Lake magnesium industry |
120 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 480,000 tons, compared with 518,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 38,000 tons, or 7.34%.