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The soda ash market is picking up and prices are rising steadily (6.8 Weekly Review of soda ash)

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June 9, 2023, 4:46 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

China's soda ash market has rebounded this week, and prices in some regions have risen. As of now, the mainstream ex-factory price of light soda in China this week is 1,850 - 2,050 yuan/ton, and the mainstream price of heavy soda delivered to the terminal is 2,000 - 2,200 yuan/ton; This week, China's soda ash market prices are steadily rising. Currently, the overall start-up of manufacturers remains high, and some manufacturers have undergone maintenance; due to the warming of market transaction atmosphere, manufacturers have increased new orders, and some companies have significantly digested their inventories; Due to the drop in soda ash prices to low levels in the early period, corporate profits have been greatly reduced, and market quotations have been firm; the overall downstream demand is still acceptable, and the demand for heavy soda remains positive. However, the float glass market is generally trading, and the sentiment towards the price of soda ash remains unchanged. Companies remain cautious in purchasing, but some soda ash manufacturers are reluctant to sell, and low-priced supplies in the market have decreased, and the soda ash market is operating well.

 

Forecast for next week: The order receiving situation in the soda ash market has improved significantly this week. There are not many companies in the market that have been overhauled recently. Some companies plan short-term overhauling in the second half of the month. The overall industry starts to remain at around 90%. Manufacturers 'inventories are not high, and companies have a strong mentality of stabilizing prices. However, as new production capacity will be released in the later market, market procurement is also more cautious. It is expected that the soda ash market will mainly stabilize in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

June 1

June 8

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2150

2150

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2200

2250

50

2.27%

in North China

light soda ash

2050

2050

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2050

2100

50

2.44%

East China

light soda ash

1950

2000

50

2.56%

heavy sodium carbonate

2100

2100

0

0.00%

central China

light soda ash

1750

1850

100

5.71%

heavy sodium carbonate

2050

2100

50

2.44%

South China

light soda ash

2100

2100

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2150

2150

0

0.00%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2050

2050

0

0.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2100

2100

0

0.00%

northwestern region

light soda ash

1700

1750

50

2.94%

heavy sodium carbonate

1750

1750

0

0.00%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of June 8 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 771 yuan/ton, up 171 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 490 yuan/ton, up 7 yuan/ton from the previous week.

production process

June 1

June 8

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

600

771

171

28.50%

ammonia-soda process

483

490

7

1.45%

 

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 89.0%, down 1.0% month-on-month. Among them, ammonia and alkali manufacturers start operating on average 94%, combined alkali manufacturers start operating on average 84%, and natural alkali plants start operating on average 100%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 600,000 tons.

Equipment maintenance list of soda ash enterprises on June 8, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

It will be stopped for maintenance on May 6 and is expected to resume at the end of the month

Xiangyu Yanhua

80

It was stopped for maintenance on May 9, and the device is being restored this week

Jiangsu Shilian

100

It will be stopped for maintenance on May 10, and the maintenance is expected to take about 20 days

Gansu Jinchang

20

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

Jinshan, Henan

390

Enterprise installations started at 90%

Hubei shuanghuan

110

Enterprise installations started at 90%

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

Enterprise installations started at 80%

chlor-alkali process

Shandong haihua

300

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

salt Lake magnesium industry

120

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 480,000 tons, compared with 518,000 tons last week, a month-on-month decrease of 38,000 tons, or 7.34%.