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Ethanol: China's ethanol market dynamics on June 2

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June 2, 2023, 4:51 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 6013.75 on June 2nd, unchanged from the previous working day.

The price of ethanol in China is stable. Hot spots on June 2: first, Henan excellent prices are stable. Second, prices in East China are stable. Third, the price in Northeast China is stable. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate has been lowered. Fifth, the price of coal ethanol is stable. Sixth, the transaction price in China is stable in the region.

Specifically, the northeast enterprise quotation is stable, rigid demand delivery. The price in Henan is stable and the order is delivered. East China enterprise output is limited, downstream rigid demand procurement, transaction price is weak. The price of fuel ethanol is weak. Northeast enterprise Jilin market general grade quotation 6150-6200 yuan / ton. The general grade of Heilongjiang market is 6000-6100 yuan / ton, and the waterless market is 6850-6950 yuan / ton. The northeast closed the position at 6350-6400 yuan per ton. The superior enterprises in Central China are quoted at 6500 yuan / ton, and the water-free price is 7300-7400 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6400-6500 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 7200-7300 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6450-6500 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol 6700-6800 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2023/6/2

2023/6/1

Rise and fall

 

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7450-7500

7450-7500

0/0

 

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

-

-

-

 

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6700-6800

6700-6800

0/0

 

North China

Superior grade

Hebei

-

-

-

 

No water

Hebei

6900-7150

6900-7150

0/0

 

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

6150-6250

6150-6250

0/0

 

No water

Jilin

6950-7100

6950-7100

0/0

 

General level

Jinzhou

6350-6400

6350-6400

0/0

 

General level

Heilongjiang Province

6000-6150

6000-6150

0/0

 

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6350-6400

6350-6400

0/0

 

No water

Anhui Province

7250-7300

7250-7300

0/0

 

No water

Shandong

 

 

0/0

 

General level

Shandong

6350-6400

6350-6400

   0/0

 

Superior grade

Shandong

6700-6900

6700-6900

0/0

 

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

7250-7400

7250-7400

0/0

 

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6400-6500

6400-6500

0/0

 

No water

Northern Jiangsu

7200-7300

7200-7300

0/0

 

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6450-6500

6450-6500

0/0

 

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6500-6500

6500-6500

0/0

 

No water

Henan

7300-7400

7300-7400

0/0

 

Raw materials / by-products and downstream

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2023/6/2

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2540-2630

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2580-2600

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2400-2510

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2420-2500

 

Central China

Henan

Corn

2790-2830

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

2700-2700

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

260-265

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

6200-6220

 

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6300-6350

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6450-6500

 

Future forecast: short-term prices are expected to remain stable in the region, the release of maintenance news increases, there is positive support in the news, sustained price reduction does not bring a large number of orders, ddgs due to low demand and weak prices of parallel products subsidise ethanol costs, enterprises continue to weaken cost support weakens, northeast prices are basically flat in the mainstream ex-factory prices in sales areas, and prices in the northeast are expected to be stable in the short term. East China starts lower, but half of the orders are basically consumed by individual factories, while the rest are consumed by other factories and traders, and volume increases. Henan region has little advantage in trans-southern region, and there is a possibility of weakness under sustained high yield, but the support space of high cost level is limited.

Raw material: corn ethanol: the price of corn is stable and the price of new wheat in central China has rebounded. Dry cassava: the price of ethanol in China is weak, the buying atmosphere is not strong, and the price is sorted out.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning shutdown, Baoquanling production, Fuyu Huihai normal, Cofco Zhaodong plant production, Hongzhanlaha stop other normal, Fukang first line shutdown, Tianyu normal, Shuntong downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng downtime, new Tianlong production, Liniu shutdown, Shenglong downtime. Huadong Huatian production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin downtime, Guohua downtime, Changxing downtime, Longhe production, sul production, Fulaichun continued downtime, Maibo small quantity, MINUSTAH production. The production of enterprises in Mengzhou, Henan Province is normal.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Buy a small amount of liquor.

Logistics: rising within the logistics price range.

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Heilongjiang Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

April fifteenth

Start up on May 6th

Jilin Fukang

50

4

March 28th

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Late March

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Start up in the middle of May

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop feeding at the beginning of April

 

Shuyang Guohua

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

Production

The material has been put in on April 20th.

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Shut down on May 5th and start on May 17th

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Shut down on April 27th

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

One-line production

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Open on May 21

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Stop feeding on April 17th

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

April 12-May 24

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

April 3rd

Fuel fuel

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

There is expected to be a boot plan in May.

 

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

All machines were shut down on May 16th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

Shutdown on May 18th

 

Hongzhang, ha.

60

30

The first phase will be suspended on May 27.