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The soda ash market is weak and difficult to change. The market is pessimistic (5.18 Weekly Review of soda ash)

112,754
May 19, 2023, 3:57 PM

1. Analysis of China's soda ash market

This week, the market price of soda ash in China fell sharply. This week, the decline in heavy soda was higher than the decline in light soda, and the price difference between light and heavy soda narrowed. As of now, the price of light soda ash in North China is 2300 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is 2300 yuan/ton; The price of light soda ash in East China is 2250 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is 2250 yuan/ton; Affected by market demand, the shipping pressure of soda ash companies has increased. Equipment starts at Jiangsu Shilian, Xuzhou Fengcheng and Chongqing Xiangyu companies have declined, and the market supply has decreased slightly. Recently, soda ash market prices have continued to fall, and the purchasing sentiment in the downstream market has been more cautious, and more companies have maintained Just need to purchase, and the game mood on the supply and demand side of the market is obvious.

 

Forecast for next week: Xuzhou Fengcheng equipment will be restored, and Tongbai Haijing will have maintenance plans in the later period. Currently, there are not many maintenance companies in the market, and the operating rate of the soda ash industry remains high; some manufacturers 'inventories have increased, market prices have continued to fall, and actual transaction prices have increased. It is expected that the soda ash market will continue to operate in a weak manner in the short term.

 

2.  Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions

Unit: yuan/ton

areas

specifications

May 11

May 18

rise and fall

previous month

Northeast China

light soda ash

2600

2400

-200

-7.69%

heavy sodium carbonate

2750

2500

-250

-9.09%

in North China

light soda ash

2500

2300

-200

-8.00%

heavy sodium carbonate

2700

2300

-400

-14.81%

East China

light soda ash

2450

2250

-200

-8.16%

heavy sodium carbonate

2600

2250

-350

-13.46%

central China

light soda ash

2250

2100

-150

-6.67%

heavy sodium carbonate

2650

2250

-400

-15.09%

South China

light soda ash

2450

2300

-150

-6.12%

heavy sodium carbonate

2700

2450

-250

-9.26%

southwestern region

light soda ash

2350

2250

-100

-4.26%

heavy sodium carbonate

2700

2350

-350

-12.96%

northwestern region

light soda ash

2150

2000

-150

-6.98%

heavy sodium carbonate

2250

1950

-300

-13.33%

 

3. Soda ash process profit statement

As of May 18 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 950 yuan/ton, down 330 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 820 yuan/ton, down 93 yuan/ton from the previous week.

production process

May 11

May 18

Weekly ups and downs

rise and fall

combined alkali method

1280

950

-330

-25.78%

ammonia-soda process

913

820

-93

-10.19%

 

4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises

This week, the soda ash industry started at 85.0%, down 5% from last week. Among them, ammonia and alkali factories start an average of 94%, joint alkali factories start an average of 76.8%, and natural alkali factories start an average of 100%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 582,000 tons.

List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on May 18, 2023

process

enterprise name

production capacity

device condition

combined alkali method

Fujian Yaolong

40

Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined

Xuzhou Fengcheng

60

It will be stopped for maintenance on May 6 and is expected to resume at the end of the month

Xiangyu Yanhua

80

It was stopped for maintenance on May 9, and the device is being restored this week

Jiangsu Shilian

100

It will be stopped for maintenance on May 10, and the maintenance is expected to take about 20 days

Gansu Jinchang

20

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

chlor-alkali process

Shandong haihua

300

At present, the company's equipment is under construction

 

5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory

The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 538,000 tons, compared with 515,000 tons last week, an increase of 23,000 tons month-on-month, or 4.47%.