1. Analysis of China's soda ash market
This week, the market price of soda ash in China fell sharply. This week, the decline in heavy soda was higher than the decline in light soda, and the price difference between light and heavy soda narrowed. As of now, the price of light soda ash in North China is 2300 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is 2300 yuan/ton; The price of light soda ash in East China is 2250 yuan/ton, and the price of heavy soda ash is 2250 yuan/ton; Affected by market demand, the shipping pressure of soda ash companies has increased. Equipment starts at Jiangsu Shilian, Xuzhou Fengcheng and Chongqing Xiangyu companies have declined, and the market supply has decreased slightly. Recently, soda ash market prices have continued to fall, and the purchasing sentiment in the downstream market has been more cautious, and more companies have maintained Just need to purchase, and the game mood on the supply and demand side of the market is obvious.
Forecast for next week: Xuzhou Fengcheng equipment will be restored, and Tongbai Haijing will have maintenance plans in the later period. Currently, there are not many maintenance companies in the market, and the operating rate of the soda ash industry remains high; some manufacturers 'inventories have increased, market prices have continued to fall, and actual transaction prices have increased. It is expected that the soda ash market will continue to operate in a weak manner in the short term.
2. Comparison of market prices of soda ash in regions
Unit: yuan/ton
areas |
specifications |
May 11 |
May 18 |
rise and fall |
previous month |
Northeast China |
light soda ash |
2600 |
2400 |
-200 |
-7.69% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2750 |
2500 |
-250 |
-9.09% |
|
in North China |
light soda ash |
2500 |
2300 |
-200 |
-8.00% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2700 |
2300 |
-400 |
-14.81% |
|
East China |
light soda ash |
2450 |
2250 |
-200 |
-8.16% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2600 |
2250 |
-350 |
-13.46% |
|
central China |
light soda ash |
2250 |
2100 |
-150 |
-6.67% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2650 |
2250 |
-400 |
-15.09% |
|
South China |
light soda ash |
2450 |
2300 |
-150 |
-6.12% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2700 |
2450 |
-250 |
-9.26% |
|
southwestern region |
light soda ash |
2350 |
2250 |
-100 |
-4.26% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2700 |
2350 |
-350 |
-12.96% |
|
northwestern region |
light soda ash |
2150 |
2000 |
-150 |
-6.98% |
heavy sodium carbonate |
2250 |
1950 |
-300 |
-13.33% |
3. Soda ash process profit statement
As of May 18 this week, the profit of the combined alkali method was 950 yuan/ton, down 330 yuan/ton from the previous week; the profit of the ammonia-alkali method was 820 yuan/ton, down 93 yuan/ton from the previous week.
production process |
May 11 |
May 18 |
Weekly ups and downs |
rise and fall |
combined alkali method |
1280 |
950 |
-330 |
-25.78% |
ammonia-soda process |
913 |
820 |
-93 |
-10.19% |
4. Equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises
This week, the soda ash industry started at 85.0%, down 5% from last week. Among them, ammonia and alkali factories start an average of 94%, joint alkali factories start an average of 76.8%, and natural alkali factories start an average of 100%. According to incomplete statistics, the output of soda ash manufacturers this week is about 582,000 tons.
List of equipment maintenance of soda ash enterprises on May 18, 2023 |
|||
process |
enterprise name |
production capacity |
device condition |
combined alkali method |
Fujian Yaolong |
40 |
Maintenance will start from September 11, 2022, and recovery time will be determined |
Xuzhou Fengcheng |
60 |
It will be stopped for maintenance on May 6 and is expected to resume at the end of the month |
|
Xiangyu Yanhua |
80 |
It was stopped for maintenance on May 9, and the device is being restored this week |
|
Jiangsu Shilian |
100 |
It will be stopped for maintenance on May 10, and the maintenance is expected to take about 20 days |
|
Gansu Jinchang |
20 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
|
chlor-alkali process |
Shandong haihua |
300 |
At present, the company's equipment is under construction |
5. Soda ash manufacturer inventory
The total inventory of Chinese soda ash manufacturers this week was 538,000 tons, compared with 515,000 tons last week, an increase of 23,000 tons month-on-month, or 4.47%.