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Ethanol: China's ethanol market dynamics

112,865
May 16, 2023, 4:51 PM

The price index of general-grade ethanol was 6127.50 on May 16th, up from-10.75 on the previous working day.

The quotation of Chinese ethanol enterprises is stable and the market feedback is general. Hot spots on May 16: first, prices in Henan are stable. Second, the quotations of enterprises in East China are stable. Third, prices in Northeast China are stable, while individual premium prices are weak. Fourth, the bidding price of ethyl acetate is stable. Fifth, the price of coal-based ethanol is stable.

Specifically, northeast enterprises wait for new orders after price reduction, previous orders continue to be delivered, and individual premium prices are weak. The quotation of Henan enterprises is stable. Ethanol enterprises in East China offer smoothly, small factories have a positive mentality of shipping, and there are low prices in the transaction. Fuel: the price of receiving goods in the region is weaker. The selling price of coal-based ethanol is stable. As of press time, the general price of Jilin market is 6250-6450 yuan / ton, that of Heilongjiang market is 6100-6200 yuan / ton, and that of anhydrous market is 6900-7100 yuan / ton. The superior enterprises in Central China offer 6550-6600 yuan / ton, and the price of no water is 7400 yuan / ton. The price of ethanol in East China is 6420-6500 yuan / ton. The price of anhydrous ethanol is 7300-7400 yuan / ton, and the general price in southern Jiangsu is 6700-6800 yuan / ton. Cassava ethanol 6700-6800 yuan / ton in Guangxi, South China.

& nbsp;                                     unit: yuan / ton

Area

Specifications

Market

2023/5/16

2023/5/15

Rise and fall

 

South China

Cassava is anhydrous

Guangxi

7450-7500

7450-7500

0/0

 

Molasses 95%

Guangxi

-

-

-

 

Cassava 95%

Guangxi

6700-6800

6700-6800

0/0

 

North China

Superior grade

Hebei

-

-

-

 

No water

Hebei

7300-7400

7300-7400

0/0

 

Northeast China

General level

Jilin

6250-6450

6250-6450

0/0

 

No water

Jilin

7050-7250

7050-7250

0/0

 

General level

Jinzhou

6500-6500

6500-6500

0/0

 

General level

Heilongjiang Province

6100-6200

6100-6200

0/0

 

East China

General level

Anhui Province

6450-6550

6450-6550

0/0

 

No water

Anhui Province

7400-7450

7400-7450

0/0

 

No water

Shandong

 

 

0/0

 

General level

Shandong

6550-6600

6550-6600

   0/0

 

Superior grade

Shandong

6700-6900

6700-6900

0/0

 

Send it to other places without water.

Shandong

7600-7650

7600-7650

0/0

 

General level

Northern Jiangsu

6420-6500

6420-6500

0/0

 

No water

Northern Jiangsu

7300-7400

7300-7400

0/0

 

General level

Southern Jiangsu

6700-6800

6700-6800

0/0

 

Central China

Superior grade

Henan

6550-6600

6550-6600

0/0

 

No water

Henan

7400-7400

7400-7400

0/0

 

Raw materials / by-products and downstream

Unit: yuan / ton, US dollar / ton

Area

Market

Raw materials / by-products

2023/5/16

Remarks

Northeast China

Jilin

Corn

2580-2630

 

Northeast China

Jilin

DDGS

2650-2720

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

Corn

2470-2510

 

Northeast China

Heilongjiang Province

DDGS

2600-2700

 

Central China

Henan

Corn

2790-2820

 

Central China

Henan

DDGS

2800-2850

 

Thailand

 

Dried cassava

260-265

 

Shandong

 

Ethyl acetate

6210-6240

Acceptance leaves the factory

Jiangsu Province

 

Ethyl acetate

6350-6400

 

South China

 

Ethyl acetate

6600-6650

 

Future forecast: short-term edible ethanol market is expected to be stable, northeast order delivery, the overall demand is limited, price collation. It is possible that the price will be weak after the supply is restored in Henan. In East China, cost pressure and demand are weaker, prices are weaker, and outages or production cuts are increasing.

Raw materials: corn ethanol: corn prices rebounded slightly in the region, demand is weak, the market time of new wheat in central China is approaching, prices are weak, substitute prices are weak and bad corn prices. Cassava dry aspect: cassava dried Thai baht value-added, China's ethanol prices are weak, the buying atmosphere is not strong, prices are weak.

Supply: northeast start: Dongning downtime, Baoquanling production, Fuyu Huihai normal, Cofco Zhaodong plant production, Hongzhan normal, Fukang first line shutdown, Tianyu normal, Shuntong downtime, Dongfeng Huafeng downtime, Xintianlong downtime, Liuniu shutdown, Shenglong downtime. East China Flower Hall production, Guannan shutdown, Jin Changlin stop feeding, Guohua production, Changxing stop feeding, Longhe production, sul production, Fulaichun continued shutdown, Maibo Huihui shutdown, MINUSTAH shutdown. Houyuan shutdown in Mengzhou, Henan Province, other ethanol plants are normal. Yushen can produce products.

Demand: downstream chemical rigid demand procurement. Buy a small amount of liquor.

Logistics: logistics prices are narrowly weak.

Equipment maintenance table of Chinese ethanol enterprises

Enterprise name

Production capacity (10,000 tons / year)

Maintenance involves production capacity

Maintenance start time

Remarks

Heilongjiang Hongzhan (Jixian)

60

60

April fifteenth

Start up on May 6th

Jilin Fukang

50

4

March 28th

 

Heilongjiang Hexing grain and oil

3

3

Late March

 

Inner Mongolia Shuntong

12

12

Stop the machine

 

Heilongjiang Zhongke Green

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Fulaichun, Shandong Province

20

20

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Dongcheng

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Guannan COVID-19, Lianyungang

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Haiyan

15

15

Stop the machine

 

Jiangsu Maibo remittance

8

8

Stop feeding at the beginning of April

 

Shuyang Kant

5

5

Stop the machine

 

Anhui COFCO

75

30

Production

The material has been put in on April 20th.

Anhui Wuhechun

8

8

Stop the machine

 

Jilin Xintianlong

30

30

Maintenance schedule for May 5

 

Heilongjiang Sheng long

15

15

Shut down on April 27th

 

Inner Mongolia Liniu

10

10

Stop the machine

 

Hanyong, Mengzhou, Henan Province

30

30

One-line production

 

Houyuan, Mengzhou, Henan Province

50

50

Normal

 

Jilin Dongfeng Hua Grain

10

10

Stop feeding on April 17th

 

National Investment Helen

30

30

April 12th

Fuel fuel

Guotou Jidong

30

30

April 3rd

Fuel fuel

Liaoyuan giant peak

50

50

There is expected to be a boot plan in May.

 

Zhenjiang Changxing

10

10

All machines were shut down on May 16th.

 

Jin Changlin in Lianyungang

5

5

The feeding has been stopped at present.